Week #1: NFL Game Match-Up Analysis
Michael Nazarek & John Cooney - 9/11/2020

Day

TIME

AWAY

HOME

Thu

8:20 PM

Houston Texans

@

Kansas City Chiefs

Sun

1:00 PM

Seattle Seahawks

@

Atlanta Falcons

Sun

1:00 PM

New York Jets

@

Buffalo Bills

Sun

1:00 PM

Las Vegas Raiders

@

Carolina Panthers

Sun

1:00 PM

Chicago Bears

@

Detroit Lions

Sun

1:00 PM

Indianapolis Colts

@

Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun

1:00 PM

Green Bay Packers

@

Minnesota Vikings

Sun

1:00 PM

Miami Dolphins

@

New England Patriots

Sun

1:00 PM

Cleveland Browns

@

Baltimore Ravens

Sun

1:00 PM

Philadelphia Eagles

@

Washington Football Team

Sun

4:05 PM

Los Angeles Chargers

@

Cincinnati Bengals

Sun

4:25 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

@

New Orleans Saints

Sun

4:25 PM

Arizona Cardinals

@

San Francisco 49ers

Sun

8:20 PM

Dallas Cowboys

@

Los Angeles Rams

Mon

7:15 PM

Pittsburgh Steelers

@

New York Giants

Mon

10:10 PM

Tennessee Titans

@

Denver Broncos

NOTE: THESE DEFENSIVE STATS VERSUS EACH SKILL POSITION WILL BE ON A SEASON-TO-DATE (STD) BASIS.

 

DEFENSES VERSUS QBs PASSING

(BEST TO WORST- 2019 FINAL STATS)

Team

G

PCT

ATT/G

YPA

YD/G

TD

INT

20+

40+

SKS

SAF

16

61.3

32.4

5.9

169.2

23

12

34

5

48

NE

16

56.5

33.5

6.0

180.4

13

25

42

5

47

BUF

16

62.9

34.6

6.2

195.2

15

14

34

4

44

BAL

16

58.5

34.0

6.6

207.2

15

13

47

9

37

CHI

16

63.4

35.7

6.6

222.1

17

10

40

7

32

KC

16

60.5

36.4

6.7

221.4

21

16

46

7

45

PIT

16

61.1

32.1

6.7

194.6

23

20

43

6

54

DAL

16

65.0

35.6

6.8

223.5

21

7

55

5

39

MIN

16

65.6

37.6

6.8

233.6

23

17

47

7

48

NYJ

16

62.1

36.6

6.8

236.2

25

12

51

7

35

LAR

16

61.9

35.1

7.0

226.6

23

13

40

6

50

NO

16

61.5

37.7

7.0

241.8

27

13

54

13

51

TB

16

61.4

41.5

7.0

270.1

30

12

57

14

47

DEN

16

64.8

33.6

7.1

225.6

19

10

46

11

40

PHL

16

60.9

35.7

7.2

241.6

27

11

49

15

43

CAR

16

63.8

34.0

7.3

231.0

21

14

53

7

53

LAC

16

70.7

29.0

7.3

200.3

21

11

41

6

30

TEN

16

64.5

37.4

7.3

255.0

25

14

55

8

43

CLV

16

62.0

32.1

7.3

216.9

25

14

48

8

38

GB

16

59.7

34.1

7.4

232.6

19

17

56

15

41

SEA

16

64.0

37.4

7.4

263.9

19

16

53

6

28

IND

16

70.1

35.1

7.5

248.9

29

15

50

9

41

WSH

16

68.7

33.8

7.6

238.9

35

13

56

9

46

ATL

16

65.5

33.5

7.7

244.9

28

12

56

9

28

HOU

16

64.0

36.6

7.7

267.3

33

12

58

12

31

DET

16

62.4

38.2

7.8

284.4

33

7

72

10

28

JAX

16

63.2

32.3

7.9

236.1

22

10

60

12

47

NYG

16

66.4

34.8

8.0

264.1

30

10

67

15

36

ARZ

16

70.0

37.6

8.0

281.9

38

7

72

7

40

MIA

16

63.1

34.1

8.0

262.4

39

13

68

6

23

CIN

16

61.7

31.2

8.3

244.8

25

11

70

12

31

LV

16

64.1

32.9

8.3

256.7

33

9

68

16

32

 

DEFENSES VERSUS WRs RECEIVING

(BEST OT WORST- 2019 FINAL STATS)

Team

G

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

NE

16

169

2014

11.9

4

BUF

16

201

2175

10.8

7

CHI

16

177

2298

13.0

9

JAX

16

178

2528

14.2

10

LAC

16

173

2063

11.9

11

BAL

16

206

2554

12.4

11

KC

16

154

1956

12.7

11

CLV

16

177

2277

12.9

11

GB

16

157

2487

15.8

11

SEA

16

199

2486

12.5

12

LAR

16

207

2477

12.0

13

CAR

16

227

2812

12.4

13

DAL

16

172

2158

12.5

13

PIT

16

172

2229

13.0

13

TEN

16

203

2662

13.1

13

DEN

16

170

2232

13.1

14

CIN

16

165

2626

15.9

14

ARZ

16

225

2761

12.3

16

ATL

16

187

2638

14.1

16

SAF

16

188

2110

11.2

17

LV

16

174

2681

15.4

17

MIN

16

231

2727

11.8

18

IND

16

200

2646

13.2

18

NO

16

204

2801

13.7

18

HOU

16

193

2664

13.8

18

NYJ

16

205

2578

12.6

20

DET

16

223

3036

13.6

20

WSH

16

190

2406

12.7

21

TB

16

240

3176

13.2

21

PHL

16

195

2809

14.4

21

NYG

16

205

2888

14.1

22

MIA

16

195

2825

14.5

27

 

DEFENSES VERSUS TEs RECEIVING

(BEST TO WORST- 2019 FINAL STATS)

Team

G

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

MIN

16

84

786

9.4

1

BAL

16

52

575

11.1

3

NYJ

16

65

702

10.8

3

DEN

16

90

974

10.8

3

CAR

16

56

746

13.3

4

PHL

16

65

681

10.5

4

BUF

16

60

575

9.6

5

NO

16

72

772

10.7

5

DET

16

76

843

11.1

5

MIA

16

76

861

11.3

5

CHI

16

96

886

9.2

5

KC

16

98

974

9.9

5

NE

16

64

688

10.8

6

LAC

16

65

693

10.7

6

SAF

16

66

552

8.4

6

CIN

16

66

798

12.1

6

LAR

16

70

893

12.8

6

ATL

16

74

842

11.4

6

GB

16

77

865

11.2

6

HOU

16

77

927

12.0

6

IND

16

82

787

9.6

6

SEA

16

97

1099

11.3

6

DAL

16

104

1016

9.8

6

JAX

16

65

789

12.1

7

TB

16

83

954

11.5

7

PIT

16

65

669

10.3

8

NYG

16

74

825

11.1

8

TEN

16

80

916

11.5

9

WSH

16

85

878

10.3

9

CLV

16

70

806

11.5

10

LV

16

73

877

12.0

10

ARZ

16

98

1173

12.0

16

 

DEFENSES VERSUS RBs RECEIVING

(BEST TO WORST- 2019 FINAL STATS)

Team

G

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

TB

16

83

480

5.8

1

SAF

16

63

400

6.3

0

CAR

16

61

392

6.4

3

NO

16

94

617

6.6

4

CHI

16

87

602

6.9

2

IND

16

109

755

6.9

3

DEN

16

88

616

7.0

2

LAC

16

89

627

7.0

4

GB

16

90

647

7.2

1

ATL

16

84

611

7.3

4

PHL

16

87

645

7.4

1

MIN

16

79

586

7.4

4

NE

16

68

505

7.4

1

PIT

16

75

562

7.5

2

TEN

16

101

757

7.5

3

DAL

16

94

705

7.5

2

BAL

16

60

454

7.6

1

BUF

16

87

671

7.7

3

NYJ

16

93

721

7.8

2

LAR

16

68

546

8.0

4

ARZ

16

94

791

8.4

5

NYG

16

90

758

8.4

0

WSH

16

96

809

8.4

5

HOU

16

104

891

8.6

8

MIA

16

72

629

8.7

6

LV

16

90

797

8.9

6

CIN

16

76

696

9.2

4

CLV

16

71

657

9.3

4

JAX

16

83

770

9.3

4

KC

16

100

951

9.5

5

SEA

16

85

815

9.6

1

DET

16

81

864

10.7

8

 

DEFENSES VERSUS RBs RUSHING

(BEST TO WORST- 2019 FINAL STATS)

Team

G

ATT

YDS

CpG

YPC

TD

NE

16

300

1217

18.8

4.1

1

IND

16

321

1318

20.1

4.1

4

PIT

16

382

1486

23.9

3.9

5

NO

16

285

1039

17.8

3.6

7

DEN

16

377

1507

23.6

4.0

7

SAF

16

311

1309

19.4

4.2

7

TB

16

300

907

18.8

3.0

8

ATL

16

341

1440

21.3

4.2

8

MIN

16

361

1585

22.6

4.4

8

ARZ

16

377

1584

23.6

4.2

9

BUF

16

322

1407

20.1

4.4

9

HOU

16

343

1581

21.4

4.6

9

NYJ

16

335

1060

20.9

3.2

10

PHL

16

299

1113

18.7

3.7

10

KC

16

357

1736

22.3

4.9

10

LV

16

333

1272

20.8

3.8

11

DAL

16

325

1315

20.3

4.0

11

BAL

16

296

1309

18.5

4.4

11

WSH

16

419

1972

26.2

4.7

11

LAR

16

373

1551

23.3

4.2

12

MIA

16

434

1942

27.1

4.5

12

CIN

16

389

1781

24.3

4.6

12

NYG

16

393

1558

24.6

4.0

13

TEN

16

344

1376

21.5

4.0

13

DET

16

393

1597

24.6

4.1

13

LAC

16

362

1554

22.6

4.3

14

CLV

16

356

1764

22.3

5.0

14

CHI

16

371

1444

23.2

3.9

15

GB

16

360

1748

22.5

4.9

15

SEA

16

308

1318

19.3

4.3

18

JAX

16

356

1896

22.3

5.3

18

CAR

16

378

2011

23.6

5.3

27

 

O-LINE INDEX: 2020 RANKING (PRE-SEASON)

(BEST TO WORST)

RANK

OLINE

PASS

RUN

2020

1

IND

362

386

386

2

PHL

363

373

379

3

DAL

375

350

370

4

NO

374

342

365

5

DET

359

345

360

6

TB

377

330

357

7

TEN

365

344

356

8

BAL

360

333

353

9

CLV

368

333

351

10

NE

376

330

351

11

GB

352

318

342

12

LV

399

302

341

13

PIT

383

299

341

14

WSH

347

321

337

15

DEN

334

331

337

16

KC

383

296

335

17

CAR

321

310

323

18

SAF

349

304

322

19

LAC

322

311

321

20

ARZ

357

288

317

21

ATL

323

303

317

22

JAX

339

296

315

23

HOU

391

273

313

24

MIN

274

314

313

25

NYJ

330

299

312

26

SEA

324

296

310

27

MIA

296

287

305

28

BUF

343

269

304

29

NYG

329

279

303

30

LAR

295

294

296

31

CIN

343

250

284

32

CHI

313

295

279

 

TOP 8 O-LINES:

RANK

OVERALL

.

RANK

PASS

.

RANK

RUN

1

IND

1

LV

1

IND

2

PHL

2

HOU

2

PHL

3

DAL

3

PIT

3

DAL

4

NO

4

KC

4

DET

5

DET

5

TB

5

TEN

6

TB

6

NE

6

NO

7

TEN

7

DAL

7

BAL

8

BAL

8

NO

8

CLV

 

BOTTOM 8 O-LINES:

RANK

OVERALL

.

RANK

PASS

.

RANK

RUN

25

NYJ

25

SEA

25

CHI

26

SEA

26

ATL

26

LAR

27

MIA

27

LAC

27

ARZ

28

BUF

28

CAR

28

MIA

29

NYG

29

CHI

29

NYG

30

LAR

30

MIA

30

HOU

31

CIN

31

LAR

31

BUF

32

CHI

32

MIN

32

CIN

 

 

O-LINE RANKINGS FACTORS:

Pass attempts, Sacks allowed, Percentage of sacks to total drop-backs (attempts + sacks), Yards Per Carry including all players, not just RBs, Average rushing yards per game by offense, TDs rushing, First downs rushing, Personnel changes and/or continuity.

 

KEY STATS KEY:

For RB, WR and TE Positions:

CpG- Carries per Game average

YPC- Yards Per Carry

TDR- Touchdowns Rushing

REC- Receptions

YPR- Yards Per Reception

TDC- Touchdown Catches

 

For QB:

GP- Games Played (displayed in QB section but relates to all skill positions)

YD/GM- Yards per game

YPA- Yards Per Pass Attempt

C%- Completion Percentage

TD- Touchdown Passes

INT- Interceptions

 

RED = DEFENSE STATS ALLOWED

BLACK = OFFENSIVE STATS PRODUCED

 

IMPORTANT NOTE!!!!

* KEY STATS SHOW RESULTS FROM LAST SEASON (2019) BUT WILL DISPLAY 3-WEEK TOTALS AFTER WEEK 3, REFLECTING HOT AND COLD STREAKS IN A TIMELY AND MORE ACCURATE FASHION.

 

** POINTS SCORED AND POINTS AGAINST CAN GIVE FANTASY COACHES FALSE OUTLOOKS. POINTS SCORED BY DEFENSES AND SPECIAL TEAMS ARE ALWAYS INCLUDED IN SCORE TOTALS AND THOSE ADDITIONAL POINTS CREATE BLOATED POSITIONAL STATS FOR PROJECTION PURPOSES.

 

***CpG, Carries per Game average, HAS BEEN ADDED TO RBS STATS TO GIVE FANTASY COACHES A PICTURE OF HOW OFTEN A TEAM IS DEPLOYING THE RBS AS RUSHERS AS WELL AS WHAT DEFENSES ARE FACING EACH WEEK VERSUS RUSHING ATTACKS.

 

Thu

8:20 PM

Houston Texans

@

Kansas City Chiefs

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

HOU

D

267.3

7.7

66.5

33

12

31

KC

QB

293.1

8.1

65.6

30

5

25

KC

D

221.4

6.7

65.6

21

16

45

HOU

QB

255.2

7.6

66.5

27

14

49

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

HOU

D

193

2664

13.8

18

KC

WR

181

2696

14.9

21

KC

D

154

1956

12.7

11

HOU

WR

150

1841

12.3

15

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

HOU

D

77

927

12.0

6

KC

TE

108

1346

12.5

5

KC

D

98

974

9.9

5

HOU

TE

71

767

10.8

9

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

HOU

D

21.4

4.6

9

104

8.6

8

KC

RB

19.4

4.2

13

89

7.3

4

KC

D

22.3

4.9

10

100

9.8

5

HOU

RB

21.4

4.5

8

55

8.4

3

 

TEXANS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

C. Hyde 529

Dk. Johnson 511

D. Hopkins 971

K. Stills 587

W. Fuller 564

K. Coutee 338

D. Fells 740

J. Akins 655

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

D. Hopkins

15

WR

W. Fuller

71

RB

Dk. Johnson

65

WR

K. Stills

55

TE

J. Akins

55

 

 

CHIEFS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Dm. Williams 367

L. McCoy 295

Dr. Williams 267

D. Thompson 107

S. Watkins 740

D. Robinson 735

T. Hill 563

M. Hardman 471

T. Kelce 971

B. Bell 397

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

TE

T. Kelce

136

WR

S. Watkins

90

WR

T. Hill

89

WR

D. Robinson

55

WR

M. Hardman

41

 

Mastermind Moment: Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes ripped the Texans for big fantasy points last year, so you start him without question in this kick-off game. Rookie RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire will start, and the coaches love him. He catches the football well, and you likely spent a high draft pick on him, so you start him. It should be interesting to see just how high his use, along with fantasy point total, will be in this game. WR Tyreek Hill could score on any play in the Chiefs passing game, so when healthy, you start him. There has been talk about a bigger role for WR Mecole Hardman. That said, he was inconsistent at best in his prodcution during 2019, so I'd start him only if I'm in a 14+ team league and one of my other normal starting wideouts is injured. The same goes for WR Sammy Watkins, whom accepted a pay cut to remain with the Chiefs. WR Demarucs Robinson is liikely to see spotty targets, making him a big fantasy risk. TE Travis Kelce is the top TE in the league, so you simply start him and smile. Texans QB DeShaun Watson got a big money extension, so he wants to show everyone he deserved it. That said, he may be without WR Brandin Cooks (quad) in this game, a player who did not practice on Tuesday. No matter. The Texans have a healthy WR Will Fuller to pair with WR Randall Cobb and WR Kenny Stills, so there is plenty of experience to go around. If you drafted Watson, you will be starting him this week. RB David Johnson has a lot to prove. He seemingly fell off a cliff in Arizona after suffering a lower body injury. He's healthy now, and the Texans plan to get him heavily involved in their game plan, so you start him. We all know how well he can catch passes. As for the wideouts, Cooks is a risky play due to injury, so I sit him if possible. Fuller is a nice WR2 if Cooks sits this week, while Cobb and Stills are riskier options, but one or both could produce nicely. Start one of them only if you need them, though. As for the tight ends, TE Darren Fells is underrated, but is more TD-dependent in his play. WR Jordan Akins had a nice camp, pushing the team to cut TE Jordan Thomas. Frankly, I'd take a wait and see approach here to see who gets the most love from Watson before starting either player. Bottom Line: This is the first game to be played since the Super Bowl, so you can expect some mistakes here and there, but one thing there will certainly be a lot of is... excitement! Football is finally back, and I can't wait!

 

Sun

1:00 PM

Seattle Seahawks

@

Atlanta Falcons

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

SEA

D

263.9

7.4

66.0

19

16

28

ATL

QB

315.6

7.4

67.1

29

15

50

ATL

D

244.9

7.7

67.1

28

12

28

SEA

QB

256.9

7.9

66.0

31

6

48

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

SEA

D

199

2486

12.5

12

ATL

WR

277

3420

12.3

16

ATL

D

187

2638

14.1

16

SEA

WR

196

2873

14.7

20

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

SEA

D

97

1099

11.3

6

ATL

TE

92

989

10.8

7

ATL

D

74

842

11.4

6

SEA

TE

77

733

9.5

7

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

SEA

D

19.3

4.3

18

85

9.1

1

ATL

RB

19.7

3.7

9

88

6.9

5

ATL

D

21.3

4.2

8

84

7.2

4

SEA

RB

24.8

4.6

12

68

7.4

4

 

SEAHAWKS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Carson 723

Penny 150

Prosise 123

Lockett 994

Metcalf 927

Brown 373

Moore 312

Hollister 514

Dissly 249

Wilson 243

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Lockett

110

WR

Metcalf

100

TE

Hollister

59

RB

Carson

47

 

 

FALCONS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Freeman 658

Hill 235

Smith 149

Jones 812

Ridley 712

Gage 516

Sanu 379

Blake 337

Hooper 724

Stocker 436

Graham 208

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Jones

157

TE

Hooper

97

WR

Ridley

93

WR

Gage

74

 

Mastermind Moment: This should be a high-scoring game, so get your key Seahawks and Falcons into your lineup if possible. Seahawks QB Russell Wilson should be good for multiple scores against a beatable Falcons defense, making him a must start. RB Chris Carson should score in this game, so you start him too. WR D.K. Metcalf and WR Tyler Lockett are also attractive options this week, so start them too. We shall see who rises to the top as the team's #3 WR. TE Greg Olsen will start, but WR Will Dissly is healthy, and a big playmaker, so I'd think twice about starting any TE here until I see how the Seahawks use them. Falcons QB Matt Ryan should also produce a good game this week, so you start him. You drafted RB Todd Gurley to start him when healthy, so you start him against a very beatable Seahawks run defense. WR Julio Jones and WR Calvin Ridley were high fantasy draft picks, so you start them against the Seahawks. Keep an eye on WR Russell Gage, my deep sleeper at WR this summer. He could become a solid WR3/WR4 for owners in larger PPR leagues. All eyes are on TE Hayden Hurst, as he will start for the first time as a Falcon. The matchup is not a bad one, so start him if you need him, but if you took him as a #2 TE, then sitting him to see how he plays is not a bad idea.

 

 

Sun

1:00 PM

New York Jets

@

Buffalo Bills

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

NYJ

D

236.2

6.8

62.0

25

12

35

BUF

QB

217.3

6.8

58.3

21

12

40

BUF

D

195.2

6.2

58.3

15

14

44

NYJ

QB

215.2

6.6

62.0

19

16

52

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

NYJ

D

205

2578

12.6

20

BUF

WR

191

2411

12.6

14

BUF

D

201

2175

10.8

7

NYJ

WR

193

2413

12.5

12

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

NYJ

D

65

702

10.8

3

BUF

TE

46

604

13.1

4

BUF

D

60

575

9.6

5

NYJ

TE

44

446

10.1

6

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

NYJ

D

20.9

3.2

10

93

7.8

2

BUF

RB

21.3

4.3

4

61

7.5

2

BUF

D

20.1

4.4

9

87

7.7

3

NYJ

RB

21.5

3.3

3

86

8.1

3

 

JETS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Bell 782

Powell 164

Montgomery 150

Anderson 927

Crowder 802

Thomas 459

Smith 318

Griffin 662

Brown 297

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Crowder

122

WR

Anderson

96

RB

Bell

78

WR

Thomas

58

 

 

BILLS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Singletary 530

Gore 370

Brown 913

Beasley 729

McKenzie 451

Know 646

Smith 319

Kroft 244

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Brown

115

WR

Beasley

105

TE

Knox

50

RB

Singletary

41

 

Mastermind Moment: Bills QB Josh Allen is a very good fantasy play against a weak Jets secondary without S Jamal Adams. If you own him, he is most definitely worth a start this week. RB Devin Singletary is likely to start, but share the workload with rookie RB Zack Moss. I drafted Moss ahead of Singletary late this summer due to Singletary's fumbling issues. The coaches love Moss, and he can catch passes too. That said, Singletary has a slight edge this week, but both deserve RB3 consideration. WR Stefon Diggs gets his first start as a Bill this week. Against the Jets, he is a solid WR2 in larger leagues. WR John Brown will see some deep throws, and remains a favorite target of Allen, making him an interesting WR4 for the week. WR Cole Beasley will see plenty of taergets out of the slot, giving him a bit of fantasy value for owners in need. TE Dawson Knox has a lot of potential, but he didn't see enough targets in 2019 t obe worth much than a BYE week fill in, so I sit him to see how he's worked into the game plan this week. Jets QB Sam Darnold is working with a gimpy WR corps this week, making him a risky fasntasy play. RB LeVeon Bell will see plenty of touches, but HC Adam Gase likes to use RB Frank Gore too, meaning Bell slides beyond the top 20 fantasy RBs for the week, especially against the tough Bills defense. WR Jamison Crowder is the guy to own and start this week for the Jets at WR. He is healthy, and Darnold loves to target him. Both WR Breshad Perriman and WR Denzel Mims are gimpy, so I sit them to see how they look when they play. Both are new to the team, so give Darnold a game to get them worked into the mix. TE Chris Herndon is another favorite of Darnold, so he deserves some fantasy consideration this week, but only in large leagues.

 

 

Sun

1:00 PM

Las Vegas Raiders

@

Carolina Panthers

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

LV

D

256.7

8.3

70.2

33

9

32

CAR

QB

258.4

6.5

60.3

17

21

58

CAR

D

231.0

7.3

60.3

21

14

53

LV

QB

256.9

7.9

70.2

22

8

29

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

LV

D

174

2681

15.4

17

CAR

WR

189

2322

12.3

10

CAR

D

227

2812

12.4

13

LV

WR

145

1858

12.8

12

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

LV

D

73

877

12.0

10

CAR

TE

69

744

10.8

3

CAR

D

56

746

13.3

4

LV

TE

124

1427

11.5

9

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

LV

D

20.8

3.8

11

90

8.9

6

CAR

RB

19.7

4.8

17

124

8.6

4

CAR

D

23.6

5.3

27

61

6.4

3

LV

RB

24.9

4.3

10

98

6.8

1

 

RAIDERS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Jacobs 460

Richard 298

Washington 271

Williams 727

Jones 461

Renfrow 435

Waller 922

Moreau 371

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

TE

Waller

117

WR

Renfrow

71

WR

Williams

64

RB

Richard

43

 

 

PANTHERS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

McCaffrey 1039

Bonnafon 68

Samuel 955

Moore 910

Wright 693

Olsen 790

Manhertz 341

Thomas 302

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

RB

McCaffrey

142

WR

Moore

135

WR

Samuel

105

TE

Olsen

82

 

Mastermind Moment: Raiders QB Derek Carr is more than ready for the season, but his wideout corps has been overhauled. Against the weak Panthers defense, he is an intriging fantasy option, but you likely won't start him. RB Josh Jacobs is a true stud workhorse back, so you start him with a smile this week. It will be interesting to see how much RB Jalen Richard plays behind Jacobs without RB DeAndre Washngton on the team. WR Henry Ruggs III and fellow rookie WR Bryan Edwards are the new likely starters, with WR Hunter Renfrow playing the slot. You likely drafted these players as depth picks for your fantasy squad, so watch and learn this week. TE Darren Waller will start and is a top 8 fantasy TE play against Carolina. WR Jason Witten could siphon some targets away from Waller, so that is a situation to watch. Panthers QB Teddy Bridgewater finally gets his own team to lead, and he should produce solid numbers against the Raiders this week. As with Carr, you are unlikely to start him, but it will be interesting to see how he plays with his new teammates. RB Christian McCaffrey is healthy, and that is all you need to know, other than to start him when healthy. He remains the focal point of the offense. WR D.J. Moore has quickly become a stud WR, but he needs to work well with Bridgewater to be successful in 2020. I think that happens without issue. WR Robby Anderson is working to push a struggling WR Curtis Samuel into a minor role, but he must prove himself first before anything changes. As such, Samuel should start this week, but neither player are top 40 fantasy WRs. TE Ian Thomas (toe) will likely play through injury. Technically, the Raiders are terrible against the tight end, but this is a new season, and with Thomas gimpy, he's far from a lock to produce much. If he is your #2 TE, sit him for sure.

 

 

Sun

1:00 PM

Chicago Bears

@

Detroit Lions

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

CHI

D

222.1

6.6

64.0

17

10

32

DET

QB

261.7

7.3

60.2

28

15

43

DET

D

284.4

7.8

60.2

33

7

28

CHI

QB

223.3

6.2

64.0

20

12

45

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

CHI

D

177

2298

13.0

9

DET

WR

199

2968

14.9

22

DET

D

223

3036

13.6

20

CHI

WR

214

2494

11.7

14

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

CHI

D

96

886

9.2

5

DET

TE

66

695

10.5

3

DET

D

76

843

11.1

5

CHI

TE

46

416

9.0

2

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

CHI

D

23.2

3.9

15

87

6.9

2

DET

RB

22.1

3.9

6

76

6.6

2

DET

D

24.6

4.1

13

81

10.7

8

CHI

RB

1.9

3.6

6

111

6.0

4

 

BEARS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

D. Montgomery 614

T. Cohen 533

 

Robinson 1003

Miller 686

Wims 487

Gabriel 445

Holtz 334

Burton 283

 

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Robinson

154

RB

Cohen

104

WR

Miller

85

WR

Gabriel

48

 

LIONS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

T. Johnson 311

K. Johnson 274

McKissic 257

 

Golladay 937

M. Jones 818

Amendola 642

Hockenson 525

James 493

L. Thomas 336

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Golladay

116

WR

Amendola

97

WR

M. Jones

91

TE

Hockenson

59

 

Mastermind Moment: Lions QB Matthew Stafford has struggled a bit against the Bears in the past, so he's not a lock for a big fantasy game this week. We are watching the hamstring situation of WR Kenny Golladay closely right now, because if he sits, Stafford's fantasy value sinks even lower. RB Kerryon Johnson got little respect in fantasy drafts this summer, but he will start on Sunday, while rookie RB D'Andre Swift (hip) may not even play. If he sits, look for veteran RB Adrian Peterson to play opposite Johnson. Any way you look at it, though, it's a RBBC, one to avoid if possible against a tough Bears run defense. We will update Golladay's status on Sunday morning. WR Marvin Jones is a solid WR4 this week due to the tough opponent. He could also draw top corner coverage if Golladay sits. WR Danny Amendola is a wildcard player, and could factor into a bigger role if Golladay sits. TE T.J. Hockenson says his ankle is still a minor issue, and with the Bears as the opponent, he's not a top 15 fantasy TE play for the week. Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky usually plays well against the Lions, so you might consider him in DFS. That said, I don't trust my season-long fantasy squad to him this week. RB David Montgomery (groin) may or may not play. We'll update his status later in the week. If he sits, RB Tarik Cohen has solid value, especially in PPR leagues, since he is the likely fill-in starter. WR Allen Robinson gets his, especially against the Lions, so you start him. WR Anthony Miller is an intriging fantasy play against the Detroit, as he had a big game against them last season. Consider starting Miller if you need him. I'd sit the rest of the Bears WR corps. TE Jimmy Graham says he's found the foutain of youth in Chicago. Yeah, right. I'll believe it when I see it. That said, if he can produce against anyone, it will be the Lions.

 

 

Sun

1:00 PM

Indianapolis Colts

@

Jacksonville Jaguars

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

IND

D

248.9

7.5

59.8

29

15

41

JAX

QB

251.4

6.8

61.8

24

8

42

JAX

D

236.1

7.9

61.8

22

10

47

IND

QB

207.1

6.5

59.8

22

10

32

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

IND

D

200

2646

13.2

18

JAX

WR

217

2868

13.2

19

JAX

D

178

2528

14.2

10

IND

WR

150

1841

12.3

15

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

IND

D

82

787

9.6

6

JAX

TE

53

459

8.7

3

JAX

D

65

789

12.1

7

IND

TE

86

967

11.2

7

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

IND

D

20.1

4.1

4

109

6.9

3

JAX

RB

19.3

4.2

3

93

7.4

2

JAX

D

22.3

5.3

18

83

9.3

4

IND

RB

19

4.6

0

6

9.2

1

 

2019 1 OUTLOOK:

WEEK 1 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Mack 510

Hines 339

Pascal 799

Hilton 478

M. Johnson 412

Rogers 406

Doyle 798

Alie-Cox 354

Ebron 325

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Pascal

72

TE

Doyle

72

WR

Hilton

68

RB

Hines

58

     

 

 

JAGUARS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Fournette 904

Armstead 150

Conley 866

Chark 851

Westbrook 747

Cole 370

Devalve 325

Koyack 260

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Chark

118

WR

Westbrook

101

RB

Fournette

100

WR

Conley

90

 

Mastermind Moment: The Jaguars defense no longer has any teeth, so that makes the Colts offense primed to produce many big games for oners this week. As such, QB Phillip Rivers, WR T.Y. Hilton, and TE Jack Doyle are all highly ranked, so if you can start them all, do it. A report emerged today that the Colts apparently only draftted RB Jonathan Taylor to back up and spell RB Marlon Mack, whom remains the starter. That said, Taylor has too much talrent to rid the bench very long. This week, Mack is a better option, but not by much. Both players could score. WR Parris Campbell and WR Michael Pittman are intriging fantasy plays for owners in large leagues this week. Hopefully, one will emerge as the clear #2 WR for the Colts. One more thing aboth the Colts... Do not hesitate to start their defense this week, as the Jaguars offense is far from a good one right now. As for the Jaguars, there's not any player I would die to get into my lineup this week. Perhaps, RB Chris Thompson has some value in larger PPR leagues. That is about it. Yup, QB Gardner Minshew and WR D.J. Chark will have to earn my recommendation in 2020. Oh, there is one guy to watch... TE Tyler Eifert. He's healthy and clicked well with Minshew early in camp, so that could lead to something, if Eifert can stay healthy. That is a BIG IF...

 

 

Sun

1:00 PM

Green Bay Packers

@

Minnesota Vikings

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

GB

D

232.6

7.4

62.1

19

17

41

MIN

QB

233.1

8.0

68.5

26

8

28

MIN

D

233.6

6.8

68.5

23

17

48

GB

QB

251.1

7.0

62.1

26

4

36

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

GB

D

157

2487

15.8

11

MIN

WR

137

2142

15.6

16

MIN

D

231

2727

11.8

18

GB

WR

192

2461

12.8

13

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

GB

D

77

865

11.2

6

MIN

TE

83

736

8.9

8

MIN

D

84

786

9.4

1

GB

TE

63

703

11.2

5

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

GB

D

22.5

4.9

15

90

7.2

1

MIN

RB

26.8

4.7

17

98

7.2

0

MIN

D

22.6

4.4

8

79

7.4

4

GB

RB

22.3

4.4

17

101

8.4

8

 

PACKERS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Jones 663

Williams 373

Adams 678

Allison 638

Valdes-Scantling 542

Lazard 479

Graham 622

Lewis 487

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Adams

127

RB

Jones

68

TE

Graham

60

WR

Valdes-Scantling

56

WR

Allison

55

 

 

VIKINGS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Cook 604

Mattison 197

Diggs 772

Johnson 538

Thielen 436

Rudolph 793

Smith 612

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Diggs

94

RB

Cook

63

WR

Thielen

48

TE

Rudolph

48

TE

Smith

47

 

Mastermind Moment: Vikings QB Kirk Cousins will not produce big games most weeks in this run-first offense. That means you leave him on your bench. With RB Dalvin Cook healthy, he is the lead guy for this team, and a must fantasy play most every week... when healthy. Without WR Stefon Diggs, the primary target becomes WR Adam Thielen. He has burned the Packers for big numbers in the past, so you should start him with confidence at home this week. WR Bisi Johnson and rookie WR Justin Jefferson will vie for the #2 WR job, but both will play a lot. I'd sit them to see how their play goes before starting them for fantasy. TE Kyle Rudolph will cede some playing time to TE Irv Smith, as the coaches want to get the big guy more involved. This is another sit and watch situation to see how they look in 2020 with the team. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers always struggles against the Vikings, so that makes him a risky play, especially with little help opposite WR Davante Adams. You probably drafted Rodgers as your backup anyway, so sit him if you can. RB Aaron Jones remains the starter, but the Vkings will limit his production. Still, he's a solid RB2 this week. RB Jamaal Williams and rookie RB A.J. Dillon will vie for the time opposite Jones in this run-heavy offense. Sit them, watch and learn. Beyond a must start Adams, WR Allen Lazard has taken a step foward to win the #2 WR job, but he's not exactly a must start play. Perhaps he's better suited for DFS. WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling really diappointed last year, but Rodgers has sung his praises this summer. OK, MVS, time for the training wheels to come off. Show us you are worthy of fantasy consideration! TE Jace Sternberger could start, but that is not a lock to happen. Watch and learn here!

 

 

Sun

1:00 PM

Miami Dolphins

@

New England Patriots

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

MIA

D

262.4

8.0

60.3

39

13

23

NE

QB

259.6

6.7

61.0

25

9

28

NE

D

180.4

6.0

61.0

13

25

47

MIA

QB

257.3

6.7

60.3

22

18

58

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

MIA

D

195

2825

14.5

27

NE

WR

219

2562

11.7

16

NE

D

169

2014

11.9

4

MIA

WR

221

2805

12.7

15

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

MIA

D

76

861

11.3

5

NE

TE

37

419

11.3

2

NE

D

64

688

10.8

6

MIA

TE

66

729

11.0

5

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

MIA

D

27.1

4.5

12

72

8.7

6

NE

RB

25.0

3.9

14

121

8.7

2

NE

D

18.8

4.1

1

68

7.4

1

MIA

RB

17.6

3.0

5

81

7.0

2

 

DOLPHINS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Laird 290

Ballage 252

Drake 209

Walton 197

Gaskins 125

Parker 905

Hurns 522

Wilson 439

Williams 404

Gesicki 701

Smythe 482

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Parker

128

TE

Gesicki

89

WR

Wilson

62

WR

Williams

60

 

 

PATRIOTS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

White 490

Michel 420

Burkhead 264

Edelman 1004

Dorsett 564

Meyers 416

Sanu 379

Watson 467

LaCosse 433

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Edelman

153

RB

White

95

WR

Dorsett

54

WR

Sanu

47

WR

Meyers

41

 

Mastermind Moment: Patriots new QB Cam Newton is really excited about the chance to redeem himself. He should produce fairly well against the beatable Dolphins this week. That makes him a top 12 fantasy QB play. RB Sony Michel is the likely starter with RB Damien Harris (pinky) on IR for at least three games. Michel is TD-dependent, but does deserve consideration as a RB3 this week. RB James White is always a solid RB3 play, especially in PPR leagues. I don't expect RB Rex Burkhead to see enough action to warrant a fantasy start, unless word comes that the Patriots actually plan to limit Michel in this game. And that won't happen, because HC Bill Belichick does not share his plans no matter what the media says. WR Julian Edelman was clearly Newton's favorite target this summer, so expect a lot of hook-ups there. That makes Edelman a solid WR3 this week. WR N'Keal Harry and the rest of the corps could be fantasy fodder most weeks, but let's give it a chance first... watch and learn! The tight end corps features a couple of rookies, so let's see who emerges before trying to guess what Belichick does. Dolphins QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is not to be trusted against the Patriots tough secondary on the road. RB Jordan Howard seems likely to start and see any goal carries, but RB Matt Breida could provide the spark that gets the Dolphins offense in gear. As such, neither are top 30 fantasy RB plays this week at New England. WR DeVante Parker and WR Preston Williams are both beat up a bit, and Parkers faces off against Mr. Gilmore this week. This is not a formula for good fantasy production. As a result, neither player are top 30 fantasy WR starts. The rest of the wideout corps have no real fantasy value. TE Mike Gesicki is beat up a bit, but should have a solid fantasy season. That said, this week will be a tough one, so start him only if you need him.

 

 

Sun

1:00 PM

Cleveland Browns

@

Baltimore Ravens

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

CLV

D

216.9

7.3

59.0

25

14

38

BAL

QB

209.4

7.6

65.7

37

8

28

BAL

D

207.2

6.6

65.7

15

13

37

CLV

QB

240.4

7.1

59.0

22

21

41

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

CLV

D

177

2277

12.9

11

BAL

WR

115

1419

12.3

17

BAL

D

206

2554

12.4

11

CLV

WR

185

2629

14.2

12

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

CLV

D

70

806

11.5

10

BAL

TE

125

1522

12.2

14

BAL

D

52

575

11.1

3

CLV

TE

41

497

12.1

9

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

CLV

D

22.3

5.0

14

71

9.3

4

BAL

RB

24.6

5.0

14

49

8.3

6

BAL

D

18.5

4.4

11

60

7.6

1

CLV

RB

22.4

4.9

12

91

8.0

1

 

BROWNS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Chubb 715

Hunt 309

Beckham 993

Landry 976

Ratley 258

Harris 550

Seals-Jones 243

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Landry

138

WR

Beckham

133

RB

Chubb

49

RB

Hunt

44

 

 

RAVENS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Ingram 504

Edwards 397

Hill 197

Snead 679

Brown 563

Roberts 552

Boykin 425

Boyle 769

Andrews 457

Hurst 457

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

TE

Andrews

98

WR

Brown

71

WR

Snead

46

TE

Boyle

43

 

Mastermind Moment: Ravens QB Lamar Jackson torched the Browns last year, so nothing changes here. If you drafted him, you took him high and should start him when healthy. RB Mark Ingram is not geting much respect, but he is the starter, so you should start him against a very beatable Browns run defense. Rookie RB K.J. Dobbins will have a role on the team, but is a bit of a fantasy risk until we see what it is. Sit the rest of the RB corps here. WR Marquise Brown will see more targets, especially on deeper routes in 2020, so that makes him an intriging fantasy play against the Browns this week. WR Willie Snead, WR Miles Boykin, and the rest of the WR corps should be avoided until more consistent play and production happens, something that is not a lock to occur. TE Mark Andrews burned the Browns last year for good games, so you start him with confidence this week. Browns QB Baker Mayfield knows he must improve to get the Browns to the promised land. The question is can he improve that much? His footwork has improved, but until we see him in a real game, questions will be there. I sit him on the road agianst the Ravens quality defense. You drafted RB Nick Chubb early, so you will start him this week, hoping for a long run or two with a score, but the Ravens should limit him. RB Kareem Hunt should see plenty of work in the passing game, making him an interesting fantasy start at Baltimore. WR Odell Beckham Jr. is a STUD. The issue here is can Mayfield get him the football on a more regular basis? If you own OBJ, you will likely start him this week, but temper your expectations. WR Jarvis Landry is the player that Mayfield has the best connection with, making him a decent WR3 in larger fantasy leagues this week. Forget about the rest of the Browns WR corps. TE Austin Hooper debuts as a Brown this week, with a lot of questions. Can Mayfield connect with him on a consistent basis? We shall see. In the meantime, Hooper is outside my top 15 fantasy TEs for the week.

 

 

Sun

1:00 PM

Philadelphia Eagles

@

Washington Football Team

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

PHL

D

241.6

7.2

63.8

27

11

43

WSH

QB

200.3

6.7

62.2

18

13

50

WSH

D

238.9

7.6

62.2

35

13

46

PHL

QB

253.9

6.6

63.8

27

8

37

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

PHL

D

195

2809

14.4

21

WSH

WR

179

2075

11.6

14

WSH

D

190

2406

12.7

21

PHL

WR

146

1647

11.3

11

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

PHL

D

65

681

10.5

4

WSH

TE

44

467

10.6

3

WSH

D

85

878

10.3

9

PHL

TE

155

1610

10.4

12

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

PHL

D

18.7

3.7

10

87

7.4

1

WSH

RB

19.7

4.4

7

75

8.8

1

WSH

D

26.2

4.7

11

96

8.4

5

PHL

RB

24.1

4.4

14

90

9.0

4

 

EAGLES WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Sanders 613

Howard 280

Agholor 690

Jeffery 493

Arcega-Whiteside 489

Hollins 395

Ertz 932

Goedert 770

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

TE

Ertz

135

TE

Goedert

87

WR

Jeffery

73

WR

Agholor

69

RB

Sanders

63

 

 

WASHINGTON WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Peterson 402

Thompson 310

McLaurin 764

Harmon 482

Quinn 425

Richardson 399

S. Sims 310

Sprinkle 600

Hentges 230

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

McLaurin

93

RB

Thompson

58

WR

S. Sims

56

WR

Quinn

47

WR

Harmon

44

 

Mastermind Moment: Eagles QB Carson Wentz is dinged a bit, but ready for the season to start. Against Washington, he is a top 12 fantasy QB play with his WR corps a bit gimpy. RB Mile Sanders is also gimpy, but if he can practice fully on Friday, should be ready to go. If he starts, you start him against a mediocre Washington defense. RB Boston Scott will back up Sanders and give him breathers here and there, but unless Sanders sits, Scott has little fantasy value. WR Alshon Jeffery (shoulder/foot) is unlikely to play, while WR Jalen Reagor (shoulder) may or may not play himself. We will update their status later in the week. WR DeSean Jackson is healthy, and will start as the lead WR, so that makes him a solid WR3 this week against Washington. Watch and learn for the rest of the WR corps. TE Zach Ertz is upset about his contract situation, which should motivate him even more. He remains a must fantasy play when healthy. TE Dallas Goedert deserve some consideration for fantasy owners in need against Washington. Do not be surprised if he scores this week (along with Ertz). As for Washington, the only guys to seriously consider for fantasy starts are RB Antonio Gibson (in a RBBC) and WR Terry McLaurin. I do not have a high opinion of QB Dwayne Haskins, so we shall see if his play change my mind. The rest of the RBs, WRs, and TEs do nothing for me for fantasy. Yeah, I heard a lot about TE Logan Thomas impressing in camp... Watch and learn!

 

 

Sun

4:05 PM

Los Angeles Chargers

@

Cincinnati Bengals

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

LAC

D

200.3

7.3

66.0

21

11

30

CIN

QB

249.6

6.5

57.8

18

16

48

CIN

D

244.8

8.3

57.8

25

11

31

LAC

QB

290.5

7.8

66.0

24

20

34

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

LAC

D

173

2063

11.9

11

CIN

WR

213

2756

12.9

9

CIN

D

165

2626

15.9

14

LAC

WR

178

2499

14.0

8

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

LAC

D

65

693

10.7

6

CIN

TE

77

721

9.4

6

CIN

D

66

798

12.1

6

LAC

TE

68

792

11.6

6

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

LAC

D

22.6

4.3

14

89

7.0

4

CIN

RB

20.7

3.9

5

65

8.0

3

CIN

D

24.3

4.6

12

76

9.2

4

LAC

RB

21.3

4.1

12

148

8.4

1

 

CHARGERS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Ekeler 599

Gordon 427

Allen 931

Williams 839

Patton 506

Henry 614

Green 378

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Allen

149

RB

Ekeler

108

WR

Williams

90

TE

Henry

76

RB

Gordon

55

 

 

BENGALS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Mixon 653

Bernard 443

Boyd 978

Tate 647

Erickson 615

Ross 403

Uzomah 644

Eifert 491

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Boyd

148

WR

Tate

80

WR

Erickson

78

TE

Eifert

63

 

Mastermind Moment: Chargers QB Tyrod Taylor gets his first start as the Los Angeles QB this week. While he could produce decent numbers, no fantasy owners will trust their season- long team to him. He is only a placeholder until rookie QB Justin Hebert shows he is ready to play. RB Austin Ekeler is the real deal, and while RB Justin Jackson and rookie RB Joshua Kelley will take some touches away, Ekeler will produce enough to be a solid RB1 this week. WR Keenan Allen was drafted as a WR2 by most fantasy owners, so you will start him this week. Against the Bengals, that is a good idea. WR Mike Williams (shoulder) may or may not play, but you should bench him until he's healthy. The rest of the wideout corps have no value at this time. TE Hunter Henry is a serious weapon, and is a top 10 fantasy TE play at Cincinnati. Bengals rookie QB Joe Burrow makes his first NFL start this week. He should do fairly well this week, but given the fact it's his first game, you should bench him to ensure he can produce something of value before starting him. RB Joe Mixon is the heart and soul of the Bengals offense, so you start him with a smile. He should do well in this game. WR A.J. Green is on track to play, saying he's finally 100% healthy. He and WR Tyler Boyd make for solid WR3s for fantasy this week. Sit WR John Ross and rookie WR Tee Higgins to see how much playing time each get. TE C.J. Uzomah is not a TE you want to start for fantasy right now. That could change, but let's make sure he develops some chemistry with Burrow first. Watch and learn!

 

Sun

4:25 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

@

New Orleans Saints

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

TB

D

270.1

7.0

60.6

30

12

47

NO

QB

276.9

7.6

71.9

36

6

25

NO

D

241.8

7.0

71.9

27

13

51

TB

QB

320.4

8.1

60.6

33

30

47

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

TB

D

240

3176

13.2

21

NO

WR

205

2417

11.8

16

NO

D

204

2801

13.7

18

TB

WR

223

3566

16.0

26

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

TB

D

83

954

11.5

7

NO

TE

70

956

13.7

12

NO

D

72

772

10.7

5

TB

TE

74

837

11.3

5

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

TB

D

18.8

3.0

8

83

5.8

1

NO

RB

20.8

4.5

10

124

9.4

6

NO

D

17.8

3.6

7

94

6.6

4

TB

RB

21.1

3.6

14

82

8.7

1

 

BUCCANEERS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Jones 415

Ogunbowale 361

Barber 339

Godwin 937

Evans 792

Perriman 645

Howard 782

Brate 431

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Godwin

121

WR

Evans

118

WR

Perriman

69

TE

Brate

55

TE

Howard

53

 

 

SAINTS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Kamara 626

Murray 434

Thomas 942

Ginn 608

Smith 458

J. Hill 649

Cook 502

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Thomas

185

RB

Kamara

97

TE

Cook

65

WR

Ginn

56

 

Mastermind Moment: Saints QB Drew Brees should produce nicely in his home game against the Bucs in what could be his final opening contest. That makes him a top 5 fantasy QB play. RB Alvin Kamara is healthy, and hopefully ges his new deal soon. If he starts, like he should, then you start him. RB Latavius Murray deseves a bit of fantasy consideration in larger leagues this week. WR Michael Thomas is THE WR to own for fantasy, making him a no-brainer start. WR Emmanuel Sanders is the new #2 WR, but is a risky fantasy option due to the good chance he will see less chances than he used to get with other teams. Watch and learn in his case. The rest of the wideout corps are very risky fantasy plays due to inconsistent targets. TE Jared Cook may see less targets with Sanders on the team, but remains a serious scoring threat, keeping him a top 12 fantasy TE option. New Bucs QB Tom Brady looks good to go in his new uniform. The Saints have a quality defense, and WR Mike Evans (hamstring) may not play, making Brady a possible risky option for fantasy. RB Ronald Jones is the starter, but RB Leonard Fournette will breathe down his neck. Against a solid Saints run defense, Jones is barely a top 25 fantasy RB play. I sit Fournette until his role becomes known. We will update the playing status of Evans later in the week. WR Chris Godwin looks like a good fit for Brady, making him a must fantasy play this week. WR Scotty Miller could fill a Julian Edelman role on the team. Watch and learn! TE Rob Gronkowski is healthy, so that make him a top 12 fantasy TE play this week. I'm curoious to see how much playing time TE O.J. Howard gets in this game.

 

 

Sun

4:25 PM

Arizona Cardinals

@

San Francisco 49ers

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

ARZ

D

281.9

8.0

64.1

38

7

40

SAF

QB

251.8

8.4

69.2

28

13

36

SAF

D

169.2

5.9

59.2

23

12

48

ARZ

QB

237.3

6.9

64.1

20

12

50

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

ARZ

D

225

2761

12.3

16

SAF

WR

152

2122

14.0

15

SAF

D

188

2110

11.2

17

ARZ

WR

238

2593

10.9

11

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

ARZ

D

98

1173

12.0

16

SAF

TE

102

1154

11.3

7

SAF

D

66

552

8.4

6

ARZ

TE

40

545

13.6

4

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

ARZ

D

23.6

4.2

9

94

8.4

5

SAF

RB

26.7

4.8

19

77

9.8

6

SAF

D

19.4

4.2

7

63

6.3

0

ARZ

RB

17.5

4.6

14

77

8.6

5

 

CARDINALS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Johnson 437

Drake 405

Edmonds 207

Fitzgerald 887

Kirk 791

Byrd 455

Williams 488

Clay 396

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Fitzgerald

109

WR

Kirk

108

RB

Johnson

47

WR

Byrd

46

WR

Johnson

42

 

 

49ERS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Coleman 381

Mostert 362

Breida 255

Samuel 709

Sanders 487

Bourne 465

Pettis 313

Kittle 804

Dwelley 360

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

TE

Kittle

107

WR

Samuel

81

WR

Sanders

53

WR

Bourne

44

 

Mastermind Moment: 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo is ranked beyond the top 15 fantasy QBs, since the team is run-heavy. That said, he should be good for at least one score. RB Raheem Mostert has impressed this summer, and looks ready to produce well at home against a beatable Cardinals run defense. That makes him a top 20 fantasy RB play. RB Tevin Coleman and RB Jerick McKinnon will see some playing time, but are unlikely to produce well enough for serious fantasy consideration. McKinnon is a pass-catching back, so that may change down the road if he can prove that he can stay healthy. Both WR Deebo Samuel (foot) and WR Brandon Aiyuk (hamstring) are uncertain to play, so we will update their status later in the week. The rest of the wideout corps are big fantasy risks. TE George Kittle remains the bread and butter of this passing game, so if you own him, you start him. Cardinals QB Kyler Murray is a top 5 ranked QB for the 2020 season, but slides beyond the top 10 fantasy QBs for the week due to the tough opponent. RB Kenyan Drake looks good to go, so if you own him, you start him. He ripped the 49ers for a big game last year. I'm not saying he will repeat that feat, but his potential makes him a solid RB2 with upside in week #1. WR DeAndre Hopkins will debut as a Cardinal this week. His talent alone makes him a no-brainer fantasy play. WR Christian Kirk and WR Larry Fitzgerald do not rate in the top 50 fantaasy WRs this week due to the tough road opponent. None of the Cardinals TEs have any real fantasy value at this time.

 

 

Sun

8:20 PM

Dallas Cowboys

@

Los Angeles Rams

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

DAL

D

223.5

6.8

65.0

21

7

39

LAR

QB

291.8

7.4

62.8

22

17

22

LAR

D

226.6

7.0

62.8

23

13

50

DAL

QB

306.4

8.2

65.0

30

11

23

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

DAL

D

172

2158

12.5

13

LAR

WR

249

3218

12.9

15

LAR

D

207

5477

12.0

13

DAL

WR

224

3475

15.5

20

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

DAL

D

104

1016

9.8

6

LAR

TE

110

1168

10.5

5

LAR

D

70

893

12.8

6

DAL

TE

95

900

9.5

7

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

DAL

D

20.3

4.0

11

94

7.5

2

LAR

RB

20.9

3.8

17

37

9.2

10

LAR

D

23.3

4.2

12

68

8.0

4

DAL

RB

24.2

4.7

14

69

7.6

3

 

COWBOYS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Elliott 937

Pollard 199

Gallup 846

Cooper 845

Cobb 720

Witten 845

Jarwin 434

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Cooper

119

WR

Gallup

113

WR

Cobb

83

TE

Witten

83

RB

Elliott

71

 

 

RAMS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Gurley 787

Brown 222

Woods 986

Kupp 884

Cooks 701

Reynolds 480

Higbee 696

Everett 440

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Woods

139

WR

Kupp

134

TE

Higbee

89

WR

Cooks

72

TE

Everett

60

 

Mastermind Moment: Rams QB Jared Goff is an interesting fantasy play this week at home against the Cowboys. That said, I just don't get the feeling that he will blow up in this game, as Dallas' secondary is improved. As a result, he's not a top 12 fantasy QB option. The Rams running game in a big 3- headed RBBC, with RB Malcolm Brown likely to start this week. Fantasy owners of rookie RB Cam Akers must be patient, as HC Sean McVay says he wants the best back to win the starting job. Hopefully, that is Akers, but that is not a lock. This week, I'd sit all three backs and sit back and watch... and learn. Both WR Robert Woods and WR Cooper Kupp are solid WR2 options at home against the Cowboys. Kupp has a leg issue, but should be fine. WR Josh Reynolds is the new #3 WR, at least for this week. If he struggles, then look for WR Van Jefferson to get his chance. That said, now is not the time to start either player. TE Tyler Higbee blew up down the stretch last year, and enters 2020 as the starter. Against the Cowboys, he is a top 5 fantasy TE play. Keep an eye on TE Gerald Everett, as coaches want to get him more involved. Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has become an elite fantasy QB, so if you own him, you start him. This week is no different. Stud RB Ezekiel Elliott has recovered from COVID-19, so you start him when he's healthy, no questions. WR Amari Cooper is dinged, but should be good to go this week. If he starts, then you start him, but do not expect a big game due to Mr. Ramsey. WR Michael Gallup is a solid WR3 this week, while rookie WR CeeDee Lamb makes his debut. Lamb could surprise in this game, but I usually sit rookies to see how they fit in with their new team before I start them. Lamb is no different. TE Blake Jarwin starts with TE Jason Witten in Las Vegas. Tha said, I'm not a big fan here, so start him if you like, but he's not in my top 15 fantasy TEs for the week due to the inconsistent targets he will get.

 

Mon

7:15 P.M.

Pittsburgh Steelers

@

New York Giants

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

PIT

D

194.6

6.7

61.8

23

20

54

NYG

QB

254.4

6.7

61.9

30

17

43

NYG

D

264.1

8.0

61.9

30

10

36

PIT

QB

200.9

6.3

61.8

18

19

32

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

PIT

D

172

2229

13.0

13

NYG

WR

212

2598

12.3

20

NYG

D

205

2888

14.1

22

PIT

WR

169

2166

12.8

11

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

PIT

D

65

669

10.3

8

NYG

TE

95

913

9.6

7

NYG

D

74

825

11.1

8

PIT

TE

53

408

7.7

3

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

PIT

D

23.9

3.9

5

75

7.5

2

NYG

RB

18.8

4.2

9

69

6.6

2

NYG

D

24.6

4.0

13

90

8.4

0

PIT

RB

21.5

3.7

7

93

6.9

4

 

STEELERS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Samuels 362

Conner 328

Snell 166

Johnson 652

Washington 634

Smith-Schuster 573

McDonald 684

Vannett 391

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Johnson

92

WR

Washington

80

WR

Smith-Schuster

70

RB

Samuels

57

TE

McDonald

55

 

 

GIANTS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Barkley 728

Gallman 163

Slayton 701

Tate 624

Shepard 602

Engram 444

Smith 433

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Tate

85

WR

Slayton

84

WR

Shepard

83

RB

Barkely

73

TE

Engram

68

 

Mastermind Moment: Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger looked great in camp, coming off a major elbow injury. Against the weak Giants secondary, he is a top 10 fantasy QB play. Start him if you need him. RB James Conner is the workhorse back the Steelers will use, and he is healthy, so if you own him, you start him against the Giants. WR JuJu Smith-Schuster is healthy and has Big Ben back, making him a solid WR2 this week. WR Diontae Johnson is gimpy, so we will update his status later in the week. If he sits, WR James Washngton would deserve a bit of fantasy consideration, filling the team's #2 WR job against the Giants. WR Chase Claypool has some hype regarding his talent and practice sessions this sumer. Watch and learn. TE Eric Ebron will be used all over the field by the coaches, as they like the mis-matches he draws. Tht gives him some interesting fantasy value this week. TE Vance McDonald is the forgotten man, but should be watched to see if he can manage to draw some of Big Ben's attention again. Giants QB Daniel Jones does not draw a top 20 fantasy QB ranking this week against a stout Steelers secondary. RB Saquon Barkley is a STUD and he's healthy, and we always start our healthy STUDs. WR Sterling Shepard and WR Darius Slayton are not top 40 fantasy WRs this week due to the tough opponent. WR Golden Tate (hamstring) may or may not play, so it's best to sit him, since this is a Monday night game. TE Evan Engram is healthy, making him a top 8 fantasy TE option against Pittsburgh. His talent alone rates him a solid play.

 

Mon

10:10 P.M.

Tennessee Titans

@

Denver Broncos

 

KEY STATS: Position Defense vs Position Offense

QUARTERBACK:

TEAM

POS

YD/GM

YPA

C%

TD

INT

SKS

TEN

D

255.0

7.3

66.3

25

14

43

DEN

QB

212.6

6.7

61.9

16

10

41

DEN

D

225.6

7.1

61.9

19

10

40

TEN

QB

247.3

8.8

66.3

29

8

56

 

WIDE RECEIVER:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

TEN

D

203

2662

13.1

13

DEN

WR

154

2046

13.3

9

DEN

D

170

2232

13.1

14

TEN

WR

171

2571

15.0

17

 

TIGHT END:

TEAM

POS

REC

YDS

YPR

TD

TEN

D

80

916

11.5

9

DEN

TE

69

804

11.7

6

DEN

D

90

974

10.8

3

TEN

TE

76

948

12.5

7

 

RUNNING BACK:

TEAM

POS

CpG

YPC

TDR

REC

YPR

TDC

TEN

D

21.5

4.0

13

101

7.5

3

DEN

RB

22.4

4.2

11

89

6.2

1

DEN

D

23.6

4.0

7

88

7.0

2

TEN

RB

23.0

4.8

16

47

9.0

3

 

TITANS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Henry 589

Lewis 366

Davis 713

Brown 678

Sharpe 431

Humphries 375

Smith 701

Pruitt 439

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Brown

84

WR

Davis

69

WR

Humphries

47

TE

Smith

44

 

 

BRONCOS WEEK 1 OUTLOOK:

2019 SNAPS:

RB

WR

TE

Lindsay 513

Freeman 506

Sutton 933

Hamilton 653

Sanders 355

Fant 695

Heuerman 397

 

2019 TARGETS:

POSITION

PLAYER

TARGETS

WR

Sutton

124

TE

Fant

66

WR

Hamilton

52

RB

Freeman

50

RB

Lindsay

48

WR

Sanders

44

 

Mastermind Moment: Titans QB Ryan Tannehill got a new lease on life when he took over the starting job in Tennessee last year. He nearly got the team into the Super Bowl. That said, the Broncos secondary is still a good one, which keeps Tannehill a mediocre fantasy play at best this week. 2019 rushing champion RB Derrick Henry is healthy, so if you own him, you start him against everyone. WR A.J. Brown got a lot of hype this summer, and is a solid WR2 this week against the Broncos. WR Corey Davis is dinged, so he's best left on your fantasy bench. Davis is on his last chance to show the Titans he deserves to start. The rest of the Titan wideout corps are very risky options at best. TE Jonnu Smith is a borderline fantasy start in large leagues this week. He can make the big plays, but too often disappears. Broncos QB Drew Lock may not have WR Courtland Sutton (shouder) this week. Againsrt the tough Titans defense, Lock should be benched regardless. RB Melvin Gordon and RB Phillip Lindsay are both top 30 fantasy RB plays. Gordon should see most of the goal work, but do not be surprised if Landsay out-points Gordon this week against a fast defense. We will update Sutton's status later this week. WR Jerry Jeudy will debut in the NFL this week, and Broncos fans are excited. They should be, as he is a precise route-runner. Jeudy would get a fantasy bump if Sutton sits. The rest of the Broncos WR corps are big risks for fantasy. TE Noah Fant is an interesting sleeper play for fantasy this week. He does not rank in the top 15, but has some potential to produce a nice game, especially if Sutton sits.

 

End.

Back to top of page
FFMastermind Logo

The Definitive Fantasy Information Service

Mastermind Moment

UPDATED: NFL Game Matchup Analysis & Mastermind Moments!
Sunday, September 13th, 2020

OK, the big day has come and gone; your draft is over. You assembled an impressive roster thanks to a lot of time, energy and research dedicated to that task.

Read the Full Mastermind Moment