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Hangin' in the Red Zone

by: John Holler

 

Editor's Note: Below you will find Red Zone statistics for QBs and Fantasy Analysis of those Statistics.  If you'd like to read the sections covering RBs, WRs, and TEs, please click HERE to order our 2015 Pre-Season Draft Guide.

  There are always certain things that separate the good players from the great. One of them is how the finish the deal when it comes to putting up points in the red zone.
   For our purposes, the red zone has two definitions. One of them is in the passing game, where it is the traditional red zone inside the opponent’s 20-yard line. When a quarterback drops back to pass in that area, there is a realistic belief that he can throw a touchdown pass. However, when it comes to running ball – whether by a running back or a quarterback – a handoff from the 18-yard line can’t realistically be viewed as being something that can realistically be expected to break for a touchdown. A rush from the 5-yard line in, however, can have the realistic expectation to break for a touchdown.
   As we present our analysis lists for red zone efficiency, when it pertains to passing or receiving, the red zone represents the 20-yard line. When it comes to running the ball, the red zone is from the 5-yard line in. The lists include performance in 2014 as well as over the last three seasons.

QUARTERBACKS

2014 (25 or more attempts)
NAME CMP ATT YRD TD INT
1 Peyton Manning 71 109 470 25 1
2 Aaron Rodgers 56 105 344 24 1
3 Eli Manning 51 104 319 24 4
4 Ben Roethlisberger 56 99 371 20 3
5 Ryan Tannehill 56 94 364 24 3
6 Andrew Luck 49 86 235 23 1
7 Drew Brees 56 86 368 25 3
8 Joe Flacco 41 85 308 19 2
9 Matthew Stafford 44 81 304 16 3
10 Tom Brady 44 79 293 25 2
11 Jay Cutler 40 79 302 22 3
12 Philip Rivers 42 73 238 21 3
13 Matt Ryan 41 65 220 19 1
14 Alex Smith 39 62 327 17 0
15 Russell Wilson 30 58 252 15 1
16 Andy Dalton 28 55 227 12 1
17 Tony Romo 33 53 271 19 2
18 Derek Carr 32 53 185 18 1
19 Kyle Orton 27 53 177 11 2
20 Geno Smith 28 50 211 9 1
21 Colin Kaepernick 25 46 165 11 0
22 Mark Sanchez 23 45 191 11 0
23 Brian Hoyer 22 42 114 8 2
24 Blake Bortles 15 41 100 6 2
25 Cam Newton 19 41 158 10 0
26 Nick Foles 17 39 125 5 2
27 Ryan Fitzpatrick 23 39 148 11 1
28 Carson Palmer 18 32 130 7 1
29 Josh McCown 15 31 112 7 3
30 Robert Griffin III 14 30 82 2 2
31 Austin Davis 19 29 118 7 0
32 Teddy Bridgewater 19 26 162 9 1


LAST THREE YEARS (100 or more attempts)

NAME CMP ATT YRD TD INT
1 Peyton Manning 206 313 1439 93 3
2 Drew Brees 178 277 1216 81 4
3 Ben Roethlisberger 147 268 939 58 3
4 Matt Ryan 153 253 956 63 5
5 Matthew Stafford 127 253 993 54 8
6 Tom Brady 139 250 1044 69 6
7 Eli Manning 116 246 782 50 8
8 Andrew Luck 126 237 809 54 5
9 Aaron Rodgers 136 232 911 62 2
10 Philip Rivers 145 230 926 61 6
11 Joe Flacco 104 219 754 49 7
12 Ryan Tannehill 121 207 808 50 5
13 Andy Dalton 113 199 852 55 4
14 Tony Romo 109 197 821 55 5
15 Jay Cutler 94 179 703 49 5
16 Carson Palmer 95 173 672 36 6
17 Russell Wilson 92 169 728 51 2
18 Cam Newton 72 159 607 36 5
19 Alex Smith 99 157 741 41 3
20 Ryan Fitzpatrick 81 140 595 35 4
21 Colin Kaepernick 71 134 549 33 4
22 Robert Griffin III 67 125 398 24 4
23 Chad Henne 54 117 390 18 5
24 Christian Ponder 65 114 432 22 3
25 Nick Foles 56 110 402 25 2
26 Sam Bradford 54 103 363 26 3

WHAT THE NUMBERS TELL US – Eli Manning was just about as potent as Peyton in 2014. Tannehill throws more touchdowns in close than would have been expected. Matthew Stafford doesn’t take full advantage of Calvin Johnson. When Brady completes red zone passes, they are just likely to go for a touchdown than not. Dalton doesn’t do enough in the red zone. Roethlisberger throws a lot of passes in the red zone, but not enough of them go for touchdowns. Luck needs to develop his deadliness in close. RG3 has a lot of work to do to be an elite QB. Smith isn’t great, but he doesn’t turn the ball over.

QUARTERBACK RUSHING

2014 (2 or more rushes)

NAME ATT YRD TD
1 Joe Flacco 6 0 2
2 Cam Newton 5 12 3
3 Andy Dalton 4 7 3
4 Geno Smith 4 -1 1
5 Russell Wilson 3 5 2
6 Ryan Fitzpatrick 3 5 2
7 Tom Brady 3 4 0
8 EJ Manuel 2 -1 1
9 Brian Hoyer 2 -2 0
10 Drew Brees 2 2 1
11 Josh McCown 2 6 2
12 Teddy Bridgewater 2 4 0
13 Matthew Stafford 2 6 2


LAST THREE YEARS (5 or more attempts)

NAME ATT YRD TD
1 Cam Newton 22 46 13
2 Ryan Fitzpatrick 11 10 5
3 Andy Dalton 11 16 6
4 Joe Flacco 11 -6 6
5 Matthew Stafford 10 17 8
6 Tom Brady 8 10 4
7 Michael Vick 8 7 3
8 Nick Foles 7 5 3
9 Aaron Rodgers 7 4 1
10 Robert Griffin III 7 16 4
11 Andrew Luck 7 18 5
12 Colin Kaepernick 6 -4 1
13 Ryan Tannehill 6 7 4
14 Russell Wilson 6 5 3
15 Geno Smith 5 2 2

WHAT THE NUMBERS TELL US – Are the days of dominant rushing QBs in close dead? Flacco and Stafford put up sneaky good. Newton’s rushing numbers are in decline, but he still stands alone near the goal line. Luck doesn’t run often, but when he does, he is effective. Dalton is a Ginga Ninja near the goal line. Russell Wilson is overrated near the goal line.

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As mentioned atop this release, if you like to read the entire article, please click HERE to order our 2015 Pre-Season Draft Guide.



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