It's time to take a closer look
at the North Division teams to see how they are shaping
up coming off May mini-camps. Let’s get right to it…
AFC NORTH
Baltimore Ravens: The Ravens slumped to a last-place
5-11 record in 2007 and HC Brian Billick was shown the door.
Veteran QB Steve McNair suffered another injury and eventually
retired this off-season. QB Kyle Boller, QB Troy Smith,
and rookie QB Joe Flacco will battle it out this summer
for the starting job. Any way you slice it, this could be
an ugly situation for the Ravens' offense again, at least
early in the season unless Flacco develops quickly. RB Willis
McGahee remains the starter and most valued Ravens fantasy
player. If he can stay healthy, he should be a top 10 fantasy
producer. Rookie RB Ray Rice is the new obvious back-up
with both RB Mike Anderson and RB Musa Smith gone. New OC
Cam Cameron favors a 3-WR set, which means WR Derrick Mason,
WR Mark Clayton and WR Demetrius Williams will often be
on the field together, but Mason remains the consistent
fantasy producer from this group. Mason will get the looks,
while Clayton and Williams will make a few big plays here
and there. WR Devard Darling wasn't re-signed, but the team
drafted two wideouts for depth, WR Marcus Smith and WR Justin
Harper. TE Todd Heap had most of his 2007 season wiped out
by a hamstring injury, and hopes to return healthy. TE Dan
Wilcox provides depth, but a torn ACL has ended TE Quinn
Sypniewski's 2008 season early. Heap should remain a top
10 fantasy TE if his health holds up. PK Matt Stover returns
again and will continue to provide decent fantasy production
provided the offense clicks a bit more than it did last
year. Quick Draft Summary: Other than the players mentioned,
the Ravens drafted two offensive lineman, three defensive
players and 7th-round draft pick RB Allen Patrick, whom
will be lucky to make the team.
Cincinnati Bengals: Once again, the Bengals
disappointed and finished with a 7-9 record in 2007. QB
Carson Palmer had somewhat of a disappointing season himself,
failing to come up with big fantasy games for his owners,
with the exception of a shootout against the Browns early
in the year. Palmer would be a lock for a top 5 fantasy
position if he had no issues at the wideout position, but
that's not the case with WR Chad Johnson threatening to
sit out the season. QB Bryan Fitzpatrick was re-signed to
back up Palmer. RB Rudi Johnson was a huge disappointment
himself, failing to provide much spark, then injuring his
hamstring and sitting out most of the second half of last
season. Johnson is healthy, and returns to start, looking
to rebound. RB Chris Perry is also finally healthy after
a terrible ankle injury nearly cut his career short. Veteran
RB Kenny Watson stepped up and produced some big games for
the team last season, but seems only to be a fall-back player
should Johnson and Perry not produce. Second-year RB Kenny
Irons tore his ACL last season, and will be lucky to make
any kind of impact at all in 2008. As for the wideout corps,
Johnson is MIA and WR Chris Henry had another issue with
the law and was released. That leaves an unhappy WR T.J.
Houshmandzadeh, looking for a new deal himself after two
big seasons. WR Tab Perry is gone, and while WR Antonio
Chatman was re-signed, he can't seem to stay healthy. WR
Glenn Holt returns and WR Doug Gabriel was signed in a desperate
attempt to fill positions during off-season mini-camps.
The team also drafted WR Jerome Simpson and WR Andre Caldwell
as possible future starters. The Bengals signed TE Ben Utecht
in free agency and hope to use him as a real weapon with
the wideout corps thin. TE Reggie Kelly returns, but he's
never been a serious fantasy threat. PK Shayne Graham is
one of the better kickers in the league, but chaos on offense
could drag his stats down this year if the Bengals don't
resolve their wideout issues by season's start. Quick Draft
Summary: Most of the rest of the players drafted were offensive
linemen or defensive players. A late-round tailback and
tight end won't make much of an immediate impact, if any
at all.
Cleveland Browns: The Browns were the surprise
of the league last season, finishing 10-6, but missing the
playoffs. QB Derek Anderson quickly took over for an ineffective
QB Charlie Frye, and made the Pro Bowl. That left rookie
QB Brady Quinn sitting firmly on the bench. The Browns re-signed
Anderson as their starter, but I'm a bit cautious with regards
to whether he can continue to produce big numbers. In the
running game, RB Jamal Lewis was a big surprise himself,
finishing with top 10 RB fantasy numbers and 11 scores.
The question here also is can he do it again? Well, the
Browns think so, since they re-signed him this off-season.
RB Jerome Harrison and RB Jason Wright return to provide
depth and backup Lewis. I must give WR Braylon Edwards credit.
When he first entered the league, I thought he was a punk.
Well, I was wrong. Edwards truly rededicated himself to
his team and teammates and produced a big season in 2007.
The Browns signed WR Donte Stallworth to start opposite
Edwards, while WR Joe Jurevicius slides into the slot as
the #3 WR. WR Tim Carter is gone. The team did draft WR
Paul Hubbard in the 6th round for depth purposes. TE Kellen
Winslow had another surgery on his knee this off-season,
but proved he can play and produce with pain, as he did
last year. Winslow wants a new deal, but the Browns aren't
showing any inclination of giving him one now. Furthermore,
the team traded a 2009 3rd-round draft pick to take TE Martin
Rucker in the 4th round this April as insurance just in
case things turn ugly with Winslow. TE Steve Heiden also
provides depth behind Winslow. PK Phil Dawson returns, and
deserves a bit of consideration as a fantasy back-up kicker,
that is if you think the Browns offense will hold up in
2008. Quick Draft Summary: The Browns had only three other
draft picks in April, and took defensive players with all
three of them.
Pittsburgh Steelers: The Steelers won their
division, then promptly lost to the Jacksonville Jaguars
in the playoffs last year. QB Ben Roethlisberger returns
as the starter coming off a good fantasy season. He's a
borderline top 5 fantasy QB heading into 2008. QB Charlie
Batch returns to back up Roethlisberger, while QB Dennis
Dixon was drafted in April to eventually replace Batch.
In the running game, RB Willie Parker led the league in
rushing much of last year, but scored only a few times,
often being pulled at the goal for RB Najeh Davenport. The
Steelers drafted RB Rashard Mendenhall this April, and seem
intent on using him early and often to keep Parker fresh.
Parker will no doubt lose looks in the passing game to Mendenhall,
and likely goal carries as well. That will push Parker out
of the top 10 fantasy RBs for 2008, if not beyond the top
15. The team signed veteran RB Mewelde Moore for kick return
duty and another set of hands on third downs. In the passing
game, WR Santonio Holmes returns as the big-play receiver,
but is prone to injuries here and there. He'll start alongside
veteran WR Hines Ward, whom is coming off a knee injury
himself. Both of these players are top 25 fantasy WRs, but
not top 10 caliber producers. WR Cedric Wilson was released
after a run-in with the law, but veteran WR Nate Washington
returns to fill the #3 WR job. The Steelers also drafted
WR Limas Sweed, whom will push Washington for his job this
summer. TE Heath Miller remains the starting tight end,
and a solid fantasy starter in 12-team leagues. PK Jeff
Reed returns, but remains an enigma for fantasy owners.
Some weeks he'll kick 3+ FGs, but he often has periods where
the Steelers don't get him any FGAs and he'll struggle to
score just three points. Quick Draft Summary: The Steelers
drafted three defensive players and an offensive lineman
with their other picks this past April.
NFC NORTH
Chicago Bears: Coming off a Super Bowl appearance,
the Bears slumped to an ugly 7-9 record in 2007 and their
prospects don't seem too good for 2008 as well. The quarterback
position remains a mess, as the Bears chose not to sign
any free-agent veterans, meaning both QB Rex Grossman and
QB Kyle Orton will openly compete for the job this summer.
They did make one move at the position, trading QB Brian
Griese to the Buccaneers. Can you say AVOID? In the running
game, RB Cedric Benson returns, but a recent run-in with
the law raises doubts about his future with the team. It
appears the Bears will keep him and let him battle it out
with rookie RB Matt Forte for the starting job come training
camp. I firmly believe Forte will be starting by October,
if not sooner. Veteran backup RB Adrian Peterson returns
to provide depth at the position, while second-year RB Garrett
Wolfe will do his best to make a splash in 2008. In the
passing game, the wideout corps has been decimated. Free-agent
WR Bernard Berrian left to sign a big deal with the Vikings
and WR Muhsin Muhammad was released. That leaves WR Mark
Bradley and WR Rashied Davis as the first two in line to
earn starting jobs, if they don't fall flat on their face
this summer. KR/WR Devin Hester will also get a chance to
expand his role in the receiving game. The Bears brought
WR Marty Booker back to the team, but does he have anything
left in the tank? I suppose he might get a chance to start
too. They also signed WR Brandon Lloyd. Why? I have no idea.
The one area the Bears are strong in and didn't mess it
up is at tight end, where veteran TE Desmond Clark and second-year
TE Greg Olsen will both provide a strong presence in the
passing game. Too bad they are two players, not one, for
fantasy owners' sakes. PK Robbie Gould is one of the better
kickers in the league and was just rewarded with a new contract,
making him the highest paid kicker in he league. Unfortunately,
the Bears lack of offense doesn't make him a sure-fire fantasy
starter. Quick Draft Summary: The Bears drafted WR Earl
Bennett in the third round to beef up their wideout corps.
Fifth-round draft pick TE Kellen Davis is more a blocker
than a pass-catcher. Seventh-round draft pick WR Marcus
Monk will have to work hard to make the team. The remaining
eight draft picks were offensive linemen and defensive players.
Detroit Lions: After a 10-win prediction
by QB Jon Kitna, the Lions came up short, winning only 7
games in 2008. Well, the prediction, along with Kitna, returned
this off-season, but big questions remain regarding Detroit's
hopes for a winning season. Kitna loses OC Mike Martz and
his pass-happy ways, meaning less running and gunning in
Detroit. That will likely keep Kitna outside the top 10
fantasy QBs. Second-year QB Drew Stanton is in line to back
up Kitna and take over down the road. RB Kevin Jones (torn
ACL) was released, while RB Tatum Bell returns as a shaky
assumed-to-be-starter. RB Artose Pinner was added for depth,
but the real starter for 2008 will eventually be rookie
RB Kevin Smith, draft in April. There were so many rumors
regarding a trade of WR Roy Williams, my head was spinning.
Fortunately, the Lions came to their senses and kept the
talented receiver. He'll start opposite WR Calvin Johnson,
a player on the verge of fantasy stardom. WR Mike Furrey
and WR Shaun McDonald return to provide depth and solid
veteran production. Rookie WR Kenneth Moore was drafted
to provide further depth at the position. TE Dan Campbell
is coming off an injury, so the team signed TE Michael Gaines
to boost the tight end position, but the Lions haven't used
a tight end to catch passes seriously in many seasons. PK
Jason Hanson is still an ageless wonder. He remains one
of the most accurate kickers in the game, and should see
enough scoring chances to be worth a look by fantasy owners
this summer. Quick Draft Summary: The rest of the Lions
draft class is filled with defensive players, an offensive
lineman, and a fullback.
Green Bay Packers: Packers fans got the
surprise of their life when QB Brett Favre surprisingly
retired this off-season after looking like he would return
for at least more season. QB Aaron Rodgers becomes the new
starter. He filled in for a dinged Favre against the Cowboys
last season and showed promise, but he's certainly not Favre.
Fantasy value? A decent fantasy back-up with potential for
more. The Packers drafted QB Brian Brohm for depth and to
possibly become the face of the future should Rodgers not
fill the bill. Free-agent QB Daunte Culpepper visited before
the draft, but wasn't signed. In the running game, RB Ryan
Grant emerged during the second half of last season. He's
clearly the starter with the potential for top 10 fantasy
numbers, provided Rodgers leads the team with an effective
passing game, something that is very much uncertain to happen.
Otherwise, Grant will face 8-men in the box and could struggle.
Second-year RB Brandon Jackson is slated to back-up Grant,
while RB Vernand Morency sees some action on third downs.
In the passing game, WR Donald Driver lost his place as
the top wideout threat to WR Greg Jennings, whom scored
nearly every week he played last season. However, the loss
of Favre in the passing game will hurt both of these wideouts
in 2008. Second-year WR James Jones returns to fill the
#3 WR job. Veteran WR Koren Robinson was recently released,
while WR Ruvell Martin returns for depth. In addition, the
Packers drafted WR Jordy Nelson and WR Brett Swain this
April to boost production. TE Bubba Franks signed with the
Jets this off-season after TE Donald Lee emerged as a solid
fantasy threat. Obviously, Lee's fantasy future is tied
to the success of Rodgers, just like the starting wideouts.
Second-year PK Mason Crosby became one of the better fantasy
kickers last year with the offense humming. With Rodgers
at the helm, that might or might not continue. Draft him
in your league this summer accordingly. Quick Draft Summary:
The Packers drafted TE Jermichael Finley in the 3rd round
to replace Franks. QB Matt Flynn was drafted late, but has
only an outside shot to make an impact in the NFL. The Packers
other draft picks were offensive linemen and defensive players.
Minnesota Vikings: The Vikings surprised
last year, making a late run for the playoffs, which came
up a bit short. Unfortunately, second-year QB Tarvaris Jackson
had more downs than ups in 2007, and questions remain whether
he is truly the team's quarterback of the future. He'll
enter the 2008 season as the starter, but the team did sign
veteran QB Gus Frerotte to cover themselves in Jackson regresses.
One thing that is not in question is the fact second-year
RB Adrian Peterson is not only the starter, but a top 3
fantasy STUD RB to boot! RB Chester Taylor will back him
up and provide a change of pace here and there. RB Mewelde
Moore and RB Artose Pinner left via free agency, while RB
Maurice Hicks was signed for depth. In the passing game,
the Vikings were extremely thin at wideout these past two
years, so they signed free-agent WR Bernard Berrian this
off-season to be their new #1 WR. The potential is there
for good fantasy production, but Jackson must develop chemistry
quickly with Berrian, and continue to mature in his own
development. WR Sidney Rice and WR Bobby Wade return to
fill the #2 and #3 WR roles, while WR Troy Williamson was
traded to Jacksonville. Rookie WR Jaymar Johnson was drafted
for depth and his kick return abilities. WR Robert Ferguson
was also re-signed to boost the corps production. TE Visanthe
Shiancoe barely scratched the surface in 2007 when it comes
to fantasy production, something that is likely to continue
in 2008. TE Jim Kleinsasser is more a blocker than a pass-catcher.
PK Ryan Longwell could return to decent fantasy status if
the Vikings offense improves as expected. Best of all, he
can be had very late in most drafts as a fantasy backup.
Quick Draft Summary: QB John David Booty was drafted for
future development. The other three Vikings draft picks
were an offensive lineman and two defensive players.
That does it for the North divisions. Look for my views
regarding the teams in the South very shortly. All
comments, complimentary or otherwise, are always welcome
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talk fantasy football!