May is here and it’s time
once again to take a look at the fantasy potential regarding
all 32 NFL teams for the upcoming 2008 season. Free agency
is over for the most part, and the NFL Draft recently took
place, so teams will be making mostly small moves to tweak
their rosters before training camps begin later this summer.
Believe it or not, we are less than three months away from
the start of those camps. I'm starting to get excited just
thinking about it! As in years past, this series of articles
will begin in the East and I'll work my way West. Let's
get right to it, there's a lot to discuss...
AFC EAST
Buffalo Bills: The Bills suffered through a myriad
of injuries, but still managed to win seven games last year.
I never liked QB J.P. Losman, whom eventually lost his starting
job to QB Trent Edwards. Edwards has a bit of fantasy potential,
but the Bills need to develop more serious threats in the
passing game if he's to become a decent fantasy starter.
As for Losman, he's still on the team as the backup, although
he'd like to be traded. The real fantasy production for
the Bills comes from second year starting RB Marshawn Lynch.
He's a top 10 fantasy talent stuck on a mediocre team, which
lowers his fantasy stock just a bit. Veteran RB Anthony
Thomas is gone, leaving Lynch as the only real threat at
the tailback position. WR Lee Evans is clearly still the
#1 option in the passing game, while veteran WR Peerless
Price was released. WR Josh Reed and WR Roscoe Parrish will
battle to fill the other starting job, but I'm not impressed.
Rookie WR James Hardy was drafted in the second round, as
he'll try to help out when called upon, but he's not very
quick. Looks like Evans will once again face double-teams,
while trying to make big plays. TE Robert Royal doesn't
get enough serious looks in the passing game for fantasy
interest. Rookie TE Derek Fine provides depth and may eventually
develop if given the attention and time to do so. PK Rian
Lindell remains a solid kicker, but the Bills offense doesn't
score enough for real fantasy consideration. Quick Draft
Summary: Outside of the two rookies mentioned above, the
Bills drafted five defensive players, and a RB and WR in
the 6th and 7th rounds respectively.
Miami Dolphins: What more can be said about
the Dolphins' 1-15 season in 2007 than the word HORRIBLE?
Once RB Ronnie Brown went down with a torn ACL, the entire
team was a black hole in terms of fantasy production. Bill
Parcells has been hired to get the Fish back on track, and
he hired Tony Sparano as the new head coach. QB Trent Green
and QB Cleo Lemon are both gone, leaving second-year QB
John Beck and veteran QB Josh McCown to battle it out to
start. Rookie QB Chad Henne has potential to start somewhere
down the road if things get really bad. Bottom Line: Avoiding
a Dolphins QB this summer in your fantasy draft is a good
thing once again. RB Ronnie Brown is working hard in his
rehab, and the team expects him to be ready by training
camp, but we all know it takes two years for a tailback
to return to form. Enter RB Ricky Williams. He returns and
should get a chance to contribute early again this coming
season. RB Lorenzo Booker was traded to the Eagles and RB
Jesse Chatman signed with the Jets, while the Dolphins drafted
two RBs late in last weekend's draft. Bottom Line: It appears
the RBBC tandem of Brown and Williams will be looked upon
to carry the load. WR Chris Chambers was traded to the Chargers
during the 2007 season and WR Marty Booker was released.
The Dolphins signed WR Ernest Wilford, whom immediately
becomes their new #1 veteran WR. Second-year WR Tedd Ginn
Jr. is expected to start opposite Wilford, while others
such as WR Derek Hagan and newly signed WR Tab Perry try
to make an impact. Wilford was an inconsistent fantasy producer
in Jacksonville when the QB position had real talent, so
drafting him in a fantasy league this summer as anything
more than a depth pick is pushing the envelope. TE David
Martin returns, but will have to battle newly acquired TE
Anthony Fasano for the starting job. TE Justin Peelle and
TE Sean Ryan provided depth. Let's just say I'm not thrilled
with this position in fantasy terms either. PK Jay Feely
is a decent kicker, but will be lucky to kick 20 FGs this
season, making him another kicker to ignore in your fantasy
draft. Quick Draft Summary: With their other picks in April,
the Dolphins drafted offensive linemen and three defensive
players. They focused on filling run-blocking and pass-rushing
needs, but that won't help the team score much more for
fantasy owners.
New England Patriots: 18-1 is much sweeter
to me than 19-0. It made my YEAR when my Giants defeated
the Patriots in the Super Bowl, but this is a different
season. And QB Tom Brady remains THE QB TO OWN for fantasy
owners heading into the 2008 season. QB Matt Cassel returns
to back up Brady, but barring injury, he won't see much
on-field play. Rookie QB Kevin O'Connell is set to fill
the #3 QB role. In the running game, RB Laurence Maroney
returns as the starter, but remains an inconsistent fantasy
producer. With RB Sammy Morris returning to health, Maroney
will lose much of the goal line touches once again. In addition,
RB Kevin Faulk returns to steal more touches here and there.
Still, Maroney will have his moments in 2008. In the passing
game, WR Randy Moss and WR Wes Welker are the studly starters,
both making top 15, if not top 10 fantasy WR choices. WR
Donte Stallworth and WR Troy Brown are gone, leaving WR
Jabar Gaffney as the odds on favorite to fill the #3 WR
role, a job he fell into late last season. WR Kelley Washington
also returns for depth purposes and special teams duty.
TE Ben Watson returns as the starter at tight end, while
TE David Thomas and newly signed veteran TE Marcus Pollard
provide backup. TE Kyle Brady has been let go. PK Stephen
Gostkowski is a top 5 fantasy kicker simply due to the plethora
of PATs he'll see once again in 2008. He's also not bad
with regards to accuracy in the field goal department. Quick
Draft Summary: The Patriots chose five defensive players
in the draft, and a special teams development player. In
other words, a veteran offense isn't getting any younger
in 2008.
New York Jets: The Jets sunk back to the depths
of a poor NFL team last year, winning a measly four games.
QB Chad Pennington lost the starting job to QB Kellen Clemens,
but Clemens couldn't seal the deal himself, meaning an open
competition come summer. Unfortunately, neither of these
players can be counted upon for consistent fantasy production.
Rookie QB Erik Ainge will be brought along slowly and could
make an impact down the road if both Pennington and Clemens
flop again. RB Thomas Jones is a solid tailback, but scored
just once in 2007. Had the Jets been able to draft rookie
RB Darren McFadden last weekend, all their RB worries would
be history. Sadly, that wasn't the case when the Raiders
snatched him two picks before the Jets. As a result, RB
Leon Washington will remain the change-of-pace back, but
one hardly worthy of serious fantasy consideration, at least
as a starter. RB Jesse Chatman was signed for depth purposes,
while veteran FB Tony Richardson will do the blocking. In
the passing game, WR Laveranues Coles and WR Jerricho Cotchery
still provide a nice 1-2 punch, but WR Justin McCareins
and WR Tim Dwight are gone. WR Brad Smith is likely to fill
the #3 WR role for the team. TE Chris Baker had a career
high 41 catches last year, but won't even make $700,000
in 2008, while the Jets signed veteran TE Bubba Franks as
the backup at more than double the cost. As a result, Baker
has left the team's off-season program, but the Jets didn't
flinch, drafting TE Dustin Keller last weekend, a big pass-catching
threat. Keller is definitely one to keep your eye on this
summer. PK Mike Nugent has quietly become one of the better
kickers in the league, but inconsistent scoring chances
make him a risky fantasy proposition for 2008. Quick Draft
Summary: The Jets also drafted two defensive players along
with an offensive lineman and a 6th round wideout in WR
Marcus Henry, whom may have trouble making the team if he
drops passes like he did in college.
NFC EAST
Dallas Cowboys: The Cowboys won their division,
but lost to my Giants in last season's playoffs. For the
most part, the offense wasn't the issue, as QB Tony Romo
continued his rise to the status of fantasy STUD QB. Romo
is a top 3 fantasy QB in 2008. If he can stay healthy, good
things will continue to happen for the Cowboys and fantasy
owners this year. Restricted free-agent RB Marion Barber
has yet to sign a new deal, but it's only a matter of time
before it gets done. He starts in 2008, as RB Julius Jones
wasn't re-signed. Rookie RB Felix Jones was drafted to back
up and provide a change of pace for Barber. Barber is a
top 10 fantasy back no matter what percentage of carries
the Cowboys give Jones. In the passing game, WR Terrell
Owens redeveloped into a top wideout threat for fantasy
owners last year, and will remain that way in 2008. Owner
and GM Jerry Jones said this week that WR Terry Glenn (knee)
is 50/50 to start for the club this season. If Glenn doesn't
start, WR Patrick Crayton will step into that role again
and continue to flourish. WR Sam Hurd, WR Miles Austin and
WR Isaiah Stanback return to provide depth for this corps.
Hurd would likely step into the #3 role should Glenn bow
out. TE Jason Witten became a top fantasy TE threat last
year with Romo's help. Look for that to continue as well
in 2008. TE Anthony Fasano was traded to the Dolphins, while
TE Tony Curtis was re-signed to provide backup. Second-year
PK Nick Folk quickly became a top fantasy kicker with plenty
of scoring chances and dead on accuracy. Look for more of
the same here, too. Quick Draft Summary: Second-round draft
pick TE Martellus Bennett has a lot of size and potential.
Fourth-round draft pick RB Tashard Choice will provide depth
at the tailback position. The other three picks for the
Cowboys were defensive players.
New York Giants: My favorite team blew
through the 2007 NFL playoffs ON THE ROAD and beat the undefeated
Patriots in Super Bowl XLII! Boy, that just sounds great,
but can they repeat? It will be tough, but QB Eli Manning
has finally come of age and is his own man in the NFL. He
returns as the starter, but is he a top 10 fantasy QB? He
could be, but the Giants still like to run too much and
Manning is still prone to inconsistent play, making him
a borderline fantasy starter in 12-team leagues. In the
running game, RB Brandon Jacobs remains the starter, but
injuries hurt him last year, so the Giants made sure to
re-sign RB Derrick Ward and kept RB Reuben Droughns around
as well. And then there's second-year RB Ahmad Bradshaw,
who developed into a tough smaller back that runs well between
the tackles late last year. Bottom Line: It's a RBBC in
New York, one where any of these backs can have their moment
in the sun in 2008. In the passing game, WR Plaxico Burress
remains the class of the corps, but ankle and knee injuries
limited his effectiveness in 2007. If he can stay healthy
in 2008, watch out! WR Amani Toomer also returns as the
other starter, an aging veteran who remains underrated most
of the time. Second-year WR Steve Smith might push Toomer
for his job, or at the very least fill the #3 WR role. WR
David Tyree made the catch of his life in the big game last
February, but remains an inconsistent producer. With the
addition of rookie WR Mario Manningham, WR Sinorice Moss
could find himself without a job if he doesn't impress come
camp time. There was much speculation that the Giants would
trade TE Jeremy Shockey on draft day for picks and perhaps
a player, but nothing materialized, and he remains the team's
starter. I hope he sticks with the Giants, but wouldn't
be surprised to see a trade eventually happen. Shockey wants
to play more of a pass-catching role most of the time, while
the Giants want him to block as much as he runs routes.
If he sticks, he remains a top 10 fantasy TE. Second-year
TE Kevin Boss made a big catch in the Super Bowl, and seems
ready to emerge should Shockey be dealt. PK Lawrence Tynes
booted the Giants into the Super Bowl with a game-winner
in Green Bay, and the Giants rewarded him with a new deal.
He's a decent kicker, but often has good weeks followed
by poor ones. Quick Draft Summary: The Giants took S Kenny
Phillips in the first round to fill the hole left by the
departure of S Gibril Wilson. The team also drafted four
more defensive players and QB Andre' Woodson from Kentucky
in the 6th round.
Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles couldn't
manage to climb out of an early hole and missed the playoffs
in 2007 with a very average 8-8 record. QB Donovan McNabb
spent most of the season trying to get back to 100% coming
off a torn ACL. By season's end, he was showing signs of
his former self, making big plays, as the team won their
final three games. McNabb remains the starter, and should
rebound into the top 10 fantasy QBs if he stay healthy.
In other words, the QB Kevin Kolb era will likely have to
wait at least another year. RB Brian Westbrook remains the
focal point of the offense, and is a top 3 fantasy STUD
RB. His knee may still be an issue, but he proved to all
last year that he and the Eagles can manage it, and he can
still flourish on the field of play. RB Correll Buckhalter
returns as Westbrook's backup, while the team traded for
RB Lorenzo Booker for depth purposes. In the passing game,
WR Reggie Brown and WR Kevin Curtis return as the starters,
while the team added WR DeSean Jackson via the draft. Jackson
fits well in the slot #3 WR hole. WR Greg Lewis and WR Hank
Baskett round out the receiving corps. The Eagles surprised
most people by tagging TE L.J. Smith this off-season to
keep him as their starter. Smith has signed the deal, and
is eager to show the team he's healthy and can contribute
as they expect he still can. If he does, he's in line for
a new long-term deal next off-season. TE Kris Wilson was
signed for blocking and depth purposes. PK David Akers is
still one of my favorite kickers, but a lack of scoring
chances really hampered his fantasy production in 2007.
Let's just say I bet you can snag him in the final round
or two of your fantasy draft this summer and be happy with
his production. Quick Draft Summary: Other than Jackson,
the Eagles drafted nine players, all of whom are either
offensive linemen or defensive players.
Washington Redskins: The Redskins made
a late run into the playoffs last year, but dropped out
early with a loss. HC Joe Gibbs retired and new HC Jim Zorn
takes over. QB Jason Campbell returns as the starter and
showed flashes of fantasy potential early last year before
struggling to produce before suffering an injury that cut
his season short. He makes an interesting late-round fantasy
backup QB choice this summer, one that still has potential.
QB Todd Collins flashed last season while Campbell was injured,
but returns only as the primary backup. I've never really
been a big fan of RB Clinton Portis, mostly due to his recent
knee issues, but the Redskins have committed to him as their
starter for the next 2+ seasons, and when healthy, he is
productive. RB Ladell Betts remains a quality backup, but
this is Portis' team, that is, if he stays healthy. Once
again, FB Rock Cartwright returns as the lead fullback and
kick-returner for the team. WR Santana Moss returns as the
#1 WR, while WR Antwaan Randle El made improvements in his
game as the other starter, actually scoring more than just
once every blue moon. WR Brandon Lloyd was finally cut,
while the Redskins drafted WR Devin Thomas and WR Malcom
Kelly to boost the receiving corps. Washington finally has
enough talent to use 3- and 4-WR sets. TE Chris Cooley returns
as one of the most dangerous fantasy producing pass-catching
tight ends in the league, and should see better match-ups
with more talent on the field in multiple WR sets. Rookie
TE Fred Davis was drafted to provide depth at the position.
PK Shaun Suisham is the kicker, but doesn't score enough
for real fantasy consideration. Quick Draft Summary: Most
of the rest of the Redskins rookie class are offensive linemen
or defensive players except for a punter and a late-round
flier pick on QB Colt Brennan, a player with a bit of potential,
but more of a long-term project.
That's a wrap for the two Eastern divisions. Be sure to
join me over the coming weeks as I offer my First Thoughts
on the other six divisions. All comments, complimentary
or otherwise, are always welcome via our contact
page. Let's talk fantasy football!