May is here and it’s time
once again to take a look at the fantasy potential regarding
all 32 NFL teams for the upcoming 2007 season. Free agency
is over for the most part, and the NFL Draft recently took
place, so teams will be making mostly small moves to tweak
their rosters before training camps begin later this summer.
Believe it or not, we are less than three months away from
the start of those camps. I'm starting to get excited just
thinking about it! As in years past, this series of articles
will begin in the East and I'll work my way West. Let's
get right to it, there's a lot to discuss...
AFC EAST
Buffalo Bills: The Bills showed a bit of
improvement last season, but still won just seven games.
QB J.P. Losman played better, but not well enough to be
anything more than a decent fantasy backup. QB Kelly Holcomb
was traded to the Eagles this off-season, as the team drafted
QB Trent Edwards last month. Losman is the guy for now,
but if he doesn't continue to show improvement in his play,
Edwards will be given a chance to take over, sooner rather
than later. RB Willis McGahee got his wish, and was traded
to the Ravens a few months back, while the team re-signed
veteran RB Anthony Thomas and drafted RB Marshawn Lynch
in April. Look for the Bills to rotated Thomas and Lynch
until one steps up his play (obviously the Bills want Lynch
to take over). Rookie RB Dwayne Wright was also drafted
and RB Shaud Williams was re-signed for depth purposes.
WR Lee Evans is clearly still the #1 option in the passing
game, with both WR Josh Reed and adding WR Peerless Price
filling out the other two primary roles. WR Roscoe Parrish
showed flashes of big time play last season, but couldn't
stay healthy. If that changes, he could play an important
role in this offense. TE Robert Royal made the most impact
at the tight end position for the Bills in 2006, and that's
not saying much with his three scores and just 23 catches.
He returns, but fantasy owners shouldn't expect much from
him or any other Bills TE in 2007. PK Rian Lindell is a
solid kicker, but the Bills usually slump offensively, which
reduces Lindell's fantasy production, often at the worst
time, during fantasy playoffs. Quick Draft Summary: Outside
of the three rookies mentioned above, the Bills drafted
three defensive players, one a linebacker in the 2nd round,
which should help offset the loss of LB Takeo Spikes in
the trade with the Eagles.
Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins have a new
head coach in Cam Cameron, after HC Nick Saban quit to coach
at Alabama. Cameron is taking major steps to change key
offensive personal, making it tough to read at this time
the fantasy impact the team's offense will make in 2007.
Gone is QB Joey Harrington. Most likely gone later this
summer is QB Daunte Culpepper. That is assuming the team
acquires (or signs) QB Trent Green from the Chiefs. The
team also has QB Cleo Lemon and drafted QB John Beck last
month. If Green is signed and starts, this offense could
be much improved, if not, then things don't look so hot
in the short-term. RB Ronnie Brown returns as the starter,
while RB Ricky Williams waits to see if the NFL will reinstate
him. If they do, the Dolphins will have to decide if they
want him on their roster, or they could trade him. RB Sammy
Morris and RB Travis Minor are gone, leaving rookie RB Lorenzo
Booker as a possible backup to Brown if Williams doesn't
return. Veteran FB Cory Schelsinger was signed to blast
holes for Brown in the running game. WR Chris Chambers returns,
but has hardly produced like a true #1 WR for the team in
recent years. WR Marty Booker was on the trading block,
but wasn't traded. He won't be released, but that's no guarantee
he'll be playing for the team come September. WR Wes Welker
was traded to the Patriots this off-season, while the team
surprisingly drafted WR Ted Ginn Jr. last month with the
9th overall pick. The Dolphins are high on Ginn, but his
foot injury may not be healed in time for the start of training
camp. WR Kelly Campbell was re-signed and WR Az-zahir Hakim
was added to the roster to beef up the corps. WR Derek Hagan
also returns to the receiving group. TE Randy McMichael
was released, as the Dolphins signed TE David Martin to
fill his pass-catching role. If Martin can stay healthy,
he could surprise in 2007. But that's a big IF. PK Olindo
Mare was traded to the Saints after the team signed PK Jay
Feely in free agency. These two kickers are very similar,
so it's hard to get excited about Feely when he likely went
to a Dolphins offense that is no sure bet to give him more
scoring chances than the Giants did in 2006. Quick Draft
Summary: With their other picks in April, the Dolphins drafted
a fullback, a few offensive linemen, and three defensive
players to go along with a punter. They covered nearly all
the bases, but if Ginn can't stay healthy and develop quickly
and the QB situation isn't resolved, Dolphins fans might
have to suffer through another long season of what might
have been.
New England Patriots: For the second year
in a row, the Patriots didn't win the Super Bowl, but that
just made them more determined to make bolder moves in their
quest to regain the championship. The one area the team
made no changes in is at quarterback, where QB Tom Brady
remains the leader of the offense. With a new plethora of
receivers in tow, Brady could easily regain his top five
fantasy form. QB Matt Cassel returns to back up Brady, but
barring injury, he won't see much on-field play. RB Corey
Dillon asked for and got his release. He may sign elsewhere
or retire, leaving RB Laurence Maroney as the new starter
for the Patriots. Maroney is coming off shoulder surgery,
but should be ready to go by training camp (or so the Patriots
say). RB Kevin Faulk will spell Maroney here and there,
but Laurence will get the opportunity to be a top 10 fantasy
STUD RB if his health holds up. RB Sammy Morris was signed
to back up Maroney, while FB Heath Evans was retained as
the lead fullback. The passing game got a huge makeover
this off-season, as WR Randy Moss, WR Donte Stallworth,
WR Kelley Washington, and WR Wes Welker were acquired to
beef up a corps that was sorely lacking in consistent production
in 2006. Moss is a top 10 talent, if he comes in with the
right attitude. Stallworth could also excel when healthy.
Welker is a dangerous return man. And don't forget WR Reche
Caldwell developed nicely last season, and WR Troy Brown
is expected to be re-signed when healthy later this summer.
This unit is so deep, WR Jabar Gaffney, last year's playoff
surprise, could find himself on the outside looking in by
the end of training camp. Gone is TE Daniel Graham, who
signed a big, fat contract with the Broncos in free agency,
leaving TE Ben Watson as the lead TE. Veteran TE Kyle Brady
was signed for depth, while TE David Thomas also returns.
PK Stephen Gostkowski slowly developed into a reliable kicker
last season, and could become a top 10 fantasy producer
in 2007. Quick Draft Summary: The Patriots chose to fill
most of their skilled positional holes via free agency or
trades instead of the draft. Rookie RB Justise Hairston
was selected in the 6th round, but will be hard pressed
to make an impact. The rest of their draft consisted of
three offensive linemen, and five defensive players, as
the Patriots look to restock a solid defense that's slowly
getting older.
New York Jets: The Jets surprised last
year before falling to the Patriots in the playoffs. QB
Chad Pennington was healthy for all of 2006, which had a
lot to do with the team's success. Early in the season,
Pennington was a fantasy machine, churning out big numbers,
only to fade over most of the last half of the year. He
returns, as a solid fantasy backup, while QB Marques Tuiasosopo
was signed as a reserve after QB Patrick Ramsey was released.
QB Kellen Clemons enters his second season in the league
to battle for the backup position. With RB Curtis Martin
all but officially retired, the Jets acquired RB Thomas
Jones to be their primary ball-carrier this year. RB Kevan
Barlow and RB Derrick Blaylock were both released. RB Leon
Washington will spell Jones here and there, while RB Cedric
Houston officially backs him up. If the running game gels,
Jones could break into the top 10 STUD RBs for 2007. In
the passing game, WR Laveranues Coles and WR Jerricho Cotchery
provide a nice 1-2 punch, while WR Justin McCareins still
has value for the team as an outside deep threat. WR Tim
Dwight returns, but more often than not, he's injured, or
plays primarily in the return game. WR Brad Smith is a wildcard
project player, somebody to keep an eye on. TE Chris Baker
returns and has talent, but is too inconsistent in his production
to be anything more than a fantasy backup. PK Mike Nugent
grew to be quite a consistent kicker for the Jets over the
2006 season. If he gets more scoring chances, he could climb
into the upper half of the fantasy kickers around the league.
Quick Draft Summary: The Jets had only four picks in the
2007 draft after making several trades. They needed help
at corner and linebacker, and filled those needs with their
first two picks. WR Chansi Stuckey, drafted in the 7th round,
will have to work hard to make any kind of impact for the
team this year.
NFC EAST
Dallas Cowboys: The Cowboys lost to the
Seahawks in the playoffs last year and HC Bill Parcells
retired. New HC Wade Phillips inherits a team with talent,
but one with holes and inconsistencies to boot. QB Drew
Bledsoe was cut, then retired. QB Tony Romo emerged last
year as the new starter. He has talent, but is definitely
one of the inconsistencies on the team. Veteran QB Brad
Johnson was signed to back up Romo, but the team will give
Romo every chance to succeed… or fail. RB Julius Jones
was the subject of many trade rumors this off-season, but
remains with the team. He and RB Marion Barber will share
carries in the backfield once again, but the exact plan
for the two might be different than 2006 due to the new
coaching staff. In other words, fantasy owners shouldn't
expect Barber to get all the golden carries again this year.
WR Terrell Owens and WR Terry Glenn return as the starters
with WR Patrick Crayton once again filling the #3 WR role.
This wideout corps is getting a bit long in the tooth, but
the team has confidence these three can get the job done.
If T.O. behaves, they just might be right. TE Jason Witten
returns as the primary pass-catching TE. His fantasy numbers
slipped a bit in 2006, so this could be a redemption season.
If not, TE Anthony Fasano might get the chance to show what
he can do for the team. PK Martin Gramatica returns and
will battle rookie PK Nick Folk for the place-kicking duties
later this summer. Most of you know how I feel about rookie
place-kickers… UGH. Quick Draft Summary: Fourth-round
draft pick QB Isaiah Stanback will be converted to receiver
in an effort to boost the team's depth there and in the
return game. Sixth-round draft pick FB Deon Anderson will
battle for the starting FB job and could make an immediate
impact. The other picks were offensive linemen and defensive
players, two areas the Cowboys have needs in.
New York Giants: My favorite team began
last season on fire, only to fizzle out, barely making the
playoffs and losing to the Eagles. For the first real time,
doubts are creeping up about whether QB Eli Manning is the
true leader and performer the Giants got when they traded
for him four years ago. I believe the loss of WR Amani Toomer
to a torn ACL at mid-season was a big reason why Manning
struggled. A healthy Toomer will go a long way towards Manning
regaining his solid fantasy starting form. QB Anthony Wright
was signed to back up Manning. Obviously, the loss of a
retired RB Tiki Barber will hurt the Giants offense the
most. RB Brandon Jacobs will get first crack at replacing
him, while RB Rueben Droughns, acquired in trade from the
Browns, will step in as needed. This situation could develop
into a rotating back system (possibly every other series),
but if Jacobs continues to produce in short yardage and
goal situations, he'll continue to be the primary fantasy
producer. In the passing game, WR Plaxico Burress emerged
as the clear #1 WR for the team, making big plays often
to win games. He's a solid #1 fantasy WR, while a returning
Toomer should help stabilize the receiving corps. Rookie
WR Steve Smith was drafted to eventually replace an aging
Toomer. WR Tim Carter was traded to the Browns to get Droughns,
leaving second-year WR Sinorice Moss to fill the #3 WR job.
WR David Tyree and WR Darius Watts round out the group.
TE Jeremy Shockey was effective last year when he wasn't
playing hurt, but injuries continue to keep him from ultimate
fantasy stardom at the tight end position. TE Visanthe Shiancoe
signed in free agency with the Vikings, leaving the TE position
thin. PK Jay Feely left for a better deal with the Dolphins,
leaving a big hole at place-kicker. The Giants plan to have
unknown kickers battle for the job later this summer, meaning
fantasy owners should avoid this position until (unless)
a veteran is signed. Quick Draft Summary: Fifth-round draft
pick TE Kevin Boss will help out at the thin tight end position.
Most of the rest of the picks were defensive players, an
area of big need for a Giants unit that used to dominate.
Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles rolled
early, then struggled, only to rebound to make the playoffs
even after a devastating knee injury struck QB Donovan McNabb.
Before McNabb went down, he was THE #1 FANTASY QB in the
entire league, but he tore his ACL in week #9, ending his
season. McNabb is rehabbing hard and expects to be ready
later this summer for the season. When healthy, he's clearly
a top five fantasy QB. But injuries have always been a big
factor in his career. And just last month the Eagles drafted
QB Kevin Kolb in the second round, as a possible QB of the
future. The Eagles have told McNabb that he's still their
starter, but another injury-filled season could mean the
end of the McNabb era in Philly. Veteran QB Jeff Garcia
led the team into the playoffs and didn't even get a new
contract offer. He's now a Buc, while QB A.J. Feeley was
re-signed as the veteran backup. QB Kelly Holcomb was acquired
via trade, making the QB position quite a crowded one for
this team. RB Brian Westbrook had his biggest season last
year, even though his knee was basically a week-to-week
issue. If his health holds up, he should remain a top 10
fantasy producer. RB Correll Buckhalter re-signed to return
as Westbrook's backup. RB Ryan Moats was on the trading
block, but now could stick for another season. In the passing
game, the team acquired WR Donte Stallworth via trade from
the Saints. When he played, he produced good fantasy numbers,
but hamstring issues once again limited his effectiveness,
and he signed with the Patriots in the off-season. WR Reggie
Brown returns as the most productive veteran, while WR Kevin
Curtis was signed to start opposite him. Curtis is in a
position to surprise if he quickly develops chemistry with
McNabb. WR Greg Lewis, WR Bethel Johnson and WR Hank Baskett
round out the receiving corps. Baskett has the most potential
from this group to break out. TE L.J. Smith continued to
develop into a top 10 fantasy threat last season. That should
continue this year. PK David Akers has always been one of
my favorite fantasy STUD kickers. Coming off a disappointing
season due to low scoring chances, Akers should come at
quite a bargain in most fantasy drafts later this summer.
Quick Draft Summary: Third-round draft pick RB Tony Hunt
could give Buckhalter a run for his money at the backup
RB position. Fifth-round draft pick TE Brent Celek will
provide depth at the tight end position. Four out of the
remaining five draft picks were defensive players.
Washington Redskins: The Redskins regressed
last season, winning only five games. QB Mark Brunell finally
lost his hold on the starting job, giving QB Jason Campbell
his chance to produce. And Campbell played well enough to
secure the starting job heading into the 2007 season. Brunell
restructured and remains the veteran backup for the team.
RB Clinton Portis suffered through an injury-filled 2006
season, which ended early. RB Ladell Betts took over and
nearly stole the starting job outright. The Redskins say
a healthy Portis remains the starter, but look for more
of Betts to spell Portis to keep him healthy and fresh.
FB Rock Cartwright returns as the lead fullback for the
team. WR Santana Moss returns as the #1 WR, while WR Antwaan
Randle El and WR Brandon Lloyd will see time on the other
side. Lloyd gets one more chance to redeem himself as a
Redskin after a horrendous first year in Washington. WR
David Patten was released and is now a Saint. TE Chris Cooley
returns as one of the most dangerous and underrated fantasy
producing pass-catching tight ends in the league today.
TE Todd Yoder was re-signed to provide depth at the position.
PK John Hall, PK Nick Novak, and PK Shaun Suisham all kicked
for the team at one point in 2006. This position is far
from settled for the Redskins and should be avoided by fantasy
owners until later this summer, if at any time at all. Quick
Draft Summary: Due to trades and such, the Redskins only
had one pick above the 5th round in April, and they went
defense with their first three picks. Sixth-round draft
pick QB Jordan Palmer is a project, while seventh-round
draft pick TE Tyler Ecker will be lucky to make the team.
That's a wrap for the two Eastern divisions. Be sure to
join me over the coming weeks as I offer my First Thoughts
on the other six divisions. All comments, complimentary
or otherwise, are always welcome via our contact
page. Let's talk fantasy football!